Superliga · Regular Season - 13
Brondby vs Aarhus
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Brondby host Aarhus on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Superliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brondby 40%, draw 29%, Aarhus 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brondby €1.8M, Aarhus €1.4M.
- Home advantage makes Brondby the favourite here: it adds 5 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Superliga): Brondby rank #4 of 11, Aarhus #11.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brondby goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–18%
- 1–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Brondby 1766 · Aarhus 1770
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brondby · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 1767
Aarhus · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1879
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brondby
5th in Superliga · 16 pts from 11
- 18 OctLOdense Denmark Superliga1758
- 11 OctWLyngby Denmark Superliga1767
- 20 SepLFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1749
- 14 SepLFC Midtjylland Denmark Superliga1780
- 6 SepLRanders FC Denmark Superliga1771
Aarhus
10th in Superliga · 9 pts from 11
- 18 OctDFC Copenhagen Denmark Superliga1765
- 15 OctLGent UEFA Conference League1687
- 12 OctWSonderjyske Denmark Superliga1767
- 20 SepDAC Horsens Denmark Superliga1753
- 13 SepLFC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superliga1739
Season outlook
From the Superliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brondby | 16 /11 | 31.7 | <1% | 30% | 2% | 5th |
| Aarhus | 9 /11 | 25.2 | 0% | 2% | 22% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brondby: possession-based (how Thomas Nørgaard plays) · Aarhus: balanced profile (how Jakob Bendix Uhd Poulsen plays)