League One · Regular Season - 15
Bromley vs Notts County
Sat 14 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Hayes Lane, London
Bromley host Notts County on Sat 14 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bromley 42%, draw 29%, Notts County 30%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bromley €314K, Notts County €416K.
- Home advantage makes Bromley the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in possession (League One): Bromley rank #24 of 24, Notts County #1.
- Bromley's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.8 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bromley goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–09%
- 2–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bromley 1704 · Notts County 1715
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bromley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.9 (Below) · Elo 1623
Notts County · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1770
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bromley
22nd in League One · 9 pts from 12
- 27 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1711
- 24 OctDPeterborough England League One1720
- 20 OctLLeicester England League One1737
- 17 OctLStockport County England League One1742
- 10 OctLMansfield Town England League One1707
Notts County
19th in League One · 11 pts from 11
- 24 OctDStockport County England League One1737
- 20 OctWSheffield Wednesday England League One1698
- 17 OctLWycombe England League One1705
- 13 OctWNottingham Forest U21 England EFL Trophy1616
- 10 OctLOxford United England League One1736
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bromley | 9 /12 | 47.0 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 24th |
| Notts County | 11 /11 | 50.3 | <1% | <1% | 28% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bromley: direct (how A. Woodman plays) · Notts County: possession-based · low-block (how M. Paterson plays)