Premier League · Regular Season - 13
Briton Ferry 1–2 GAP Connah S Quay FC
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Old Road
Briton FerryTeam 11491–2
Full time
GAP Connah S Quay FCTeam 1382We gave GAP Connah S Quay FC 48% to win: they did.
Before kick-off (provisional): 25% · 27% · 48%(Briton Ferry · draw · GAP Connah S Quay FC)
HomeDrawAway
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Briton Ferry €61K, GAP Connah S Quay FC €109K.
- Premier League: Kit Margetson was the highest-rated goalkeeper (1626).
- W. Fuller, K. Jenkins, R. Owen, L. Bates, L. Cooper, J. Fanning, A. Gammond, T. Walters, K. Williams, M. Bates and T. Price (Briton Ferry) had not played for over 90 days.
- Kit Margetson, C. Bratley, J. Cook, D. Roberts, Max Woodcock and M. Fregapane (GAP Connah S Quay FC) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Briton Ferry
11th in Premier League · 12 pts from 12
- 3 AprWCardiff MET Wales Premier League1137
- 28 MarLHaverfordwest County AFC Wales Premier League1135
- 16 MarWCardiff MET Wales Premier League1110
- 13 MarWllanelli AFC Wales Premier League1139
- 21 FebWBala Town Wales Premier League1099
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2nd in Premier League · 28 pts from 12
- 16 JulLBallkani UEFA Conference League1266
- 8 JulDBallkani UEFA Conference League1292
- 3 AprLThe New Saints Wales Premier League1459
- 29 MarDBarry Town Wales Premier League1404
- 13 MarWCaernarfon Town Wales Premier League1445
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | 12 /12 | 30.0 | 0% | <1% | 35% | 8th |
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 28 /12 | 52.8 | 17% | 97% | 0% | 2nd |
Briton Ferry
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Andy Dyer
Coach DNA: –
John Disney
Coach DNA: –