League Two · Regular Season - 12
Bristol Rovers vs Salford City
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Bristol Rovers host Salford City on Tue 20 Oct 2026 (League Two); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bristol Rovers 30%, draw 29%, Salford City 41%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bristol Rovers €237K, Salford City €479K.
- League Two: T. Allen is the highest-rated defender (1956).
- Style contrast in attacking (League Two): Bristol Rovers rank #23 of 24, Salford City #1.
- Salford City are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bristol Rovers goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–09%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Bristol Rovers 1680 · Salford City 1821
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bristol Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1677
Salford City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.0 (Good) · Elo 1781
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bristol Rovers
9th in League Two · 15 pts from 11
- 17 OctLShrewsbury England League Two1701
- 10 OctLBarnet England League Two1728
- 6 OctLWycombe England EFL Trophy1791
- 3 OctLCrewe England League Two1673
- 26 SepWExeter City England League Two1730
Salford City
1st in League Two · 22 pts from 11
- 17 OctWCrawley Town England League Two1811
- 10 OctWCheltenham England League Two1804
- 6 OctDAccrington ST England EFL Trophy1692
- 3 OctWFleetwood Town England League Two1802
- 26 SepWOldham England League Two1782
Season outlook
From the League Two simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 15 /11 | 66.9 | 2% | 24% | 1% | 5th |
| Salford City | 22 /11 | 85.1 | 65% | 95% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bristol Rovers: balanced profile (how Stephen Evans plays) · Salford City: dribble-heavy (how Peter Cklamovski plays)