FA Cup · 1/128-finals
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge United
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Bristol Rovers host Cambridge United on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (FA Cup); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bristol Rovers 35%, draw 29%, Cambridge United 36%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bristol Rovers €287K, Cambridge United €438K.
- Bristol Rovers' expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.6 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bristol Rovers goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–08%
- 1–28%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.6 pts
Team Elo: Bristol Rovers 1674 · Cambridge United 1794
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bristol Rovers · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1620
Cambridge United · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1775
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bristol Rovers
15th in League Two · 16 pts from 13
- 24 OctDSwindon Town England League Two1701
- 20 OctLSalford City England League Two1715
- 17 OctLShrewsbury England League Two1701
- 10 OctLBarnet England League Two1728
- 6 OctLWycombe England EFL Trophy1791
Cambridge United
7th in League One · 21 pts from 13
- 27 OctDSheffield Wednesday England League One1775
- 24 OctLPlymouth England League One1824
- 20 OctDWycombe England League One1815
- 17 OctWBarnsley England League One1794
- 10 OctWBlackpool England League One1779
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bristol Rovers: balanced profile (how Stephen Evans plays) · Cambridge United: balanced profile (how Neil Harris plays)