Championship · Regular Season - 17
Bristol City vs Wrexham
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Bristol City host Wrexham on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bristol City 36%, draw 29%, Wrexham 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bristol City €2.4M, Wrexham €2.8M.
- Home advantage makes Bristol City the favourite here: it adds 7 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bristol City goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 0–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.6 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Bristol City 1884 · Wrexham 1952
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bristol City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1730
Wrexham · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2011
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bristol City
17th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovLNorwich England Championship1900
- 4 NovLWolves England Championship1902
- 31 OctWBolton England Championship1869
- 24 OctDStoke City England Championship1849
- 17 OctLSheffield Utd England Championship1852
Wrexham
15th in Championship · 18 pts from 15
- 7 NovDWolves England Championship1953
- 4 NovWMiddlesbrough England Championship1942
- 30 OctLSheffield Utd England Championship1929
- 24 OctLBlackburn England Championship1947
- 17 OctWPreston England Championship1917
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City | 18 /15 | 53.3 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 19th |
| Wrexham | 18 /15 | 58.9 | 0% | 1% | 4% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: direct
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bristol City: balanced profile (how Michael Skubala plays) · Wrexham: balanced profile (how P. Parkinson plays)