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Championship · Regular Season - 11

Bristol City 0–1 Sheffield Utd

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Bristol City crestBristol CityTeam 1861
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Sheffield Utd crestSheffield UtdTeam 1947

Match story

Bristol City · draw · Sheffield Utd

Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%

Live chances: Bristol City 0%, draw 0%, Sheffield Utd 100% at 90+10'2' · 0–0 · Bristol City 35%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 36%3' · 0–0 · Bristol City 35%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 36%4' · 0–0 · Bristol City 35%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 36%5' · 0–0 · Bristol City 35%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 36%6' · 0–0 · Bristol City 35%, draw 29%, Sheffield Utd 36%7' · 0–1 · Bristol City 20%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 56%8' · 0–1 · Bristol City 20%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 56%9' · 0–1 · Bristol City 20%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 56%10' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 56%11' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 56%12' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 56%13' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 56%14' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%15' · 0–1 · Bristol City 19%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%17' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%18' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%19' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%20' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%21' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 57%22' · 0–1 · Bristol City 18%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%23' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%24' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%25' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%26' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%27' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%28' · 0–1 · Bristol City 17%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%29' · 0–1 · Bristol City 16%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 58%30' · 0–1 · Bristol City 16%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 59%32' · 0–1 · Bristol City 16%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 59%33' · 0–1 · Bristol City 16%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 59%34' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 59%35' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%36' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%37' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%38' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%39' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%40' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 60%41' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 61%42' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 61%43' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 61%44' · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 61%45+1' · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%45+2' · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%45+3' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%45+4' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%45+5' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%45+6' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%HT · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%46' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 62%47' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 63%48' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 63%49' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 63%50' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 63%51' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 64%52' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 64%53' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 64%54' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 65%55' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 65%56' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 66%57' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 66%58' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 25%, Sheffield Utd 66%59' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 67%60' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 67%61' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 68%62' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 68%63' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 69%64' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 69%65' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 24%, Sheffield Utd 69%66' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 70%67' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 70%68' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 71%69' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 23%, Sheffield Utd 72%70' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 72%71' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 73%72' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 22%, Sheffield Utd 73%73' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 21%, Sheffield Utd 74%74' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 21%, Sheffield Utd 74%75' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 21%, Sheffield Utd 75%76' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 20%, Sheffield Utd 76%77' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 20%, Sheffield Utd 77%78' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 19%, Sheffield Utd 77%79' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 19%, Sheffield Utd 78%80' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 79%81' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 18%, Sheffield Utd 80%82' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 17%, Sheffield Utd 81%83' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 82%84' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 16%, Sheffield Utd 82%85' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 15%, Sheffield Utd 83%86' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 14%, Sheffield Utd 84%87' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 13%, Sheffield Utd 86%88' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 12%, Sheffield Utd 87%89' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 11%, Sheffield Utd 88%90' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 10%, Sheffield Utd 89%90+1' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 9%, Sheffield Utd 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 7%, Sheffield Utd 92%90+3' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 6%, Sheffield Utd 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 4%, Sheffield Utd 95%90+5' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 3%, Sheffield Utd 97%90+6' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 1%, Sheffield Utd 99%90+7' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 0%, Sheffield Utd 100%90+8' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 0%, Sheffield Utd 100%90+9' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 0%, Sheffield Utd 100%90+10' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 0%, Sheffield Utd 100%

Last reading, 90+10': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Sheffield Utd 36% to win: they did.

  1. 5'Sheffield Utd:Oliver Arblaster 1927 +56
  2. 45'Bristol City:Elijah Adebayo 1755 −1 for Scott Twine 1938 −4
  3. 45'Bristol City:Jed Wallace 1765 −4 for George Tanner 1907 −3
  4. 69'Sheffield Utd:Patrick Bamford 1892 +1 for Jordan Ayew 1808 +8*
  5. 69'Sheffield Utd:Sam McCallum 2037 +10 for Tahith Chong 1950 +16
  6. 72'Bristol City:Brian de Keersmaecker 1825 0 for Gibson Osahumen Yah 1678 0
  7. 78'Sheffield Utd:Sydie Peck 2031 +6 for Oliver Arblaster 1927 +56
  8. 79'Sheffield Utd:Ryan One 1801 +4 for Ben Brereton 2040 +14
  9. 79'Sheffield Utd:Romelle Donovan 1696 +11 for Mark McGuinness 2007 +45
  10. 85'Bristol City:Tomi Horvat 1855 −1 for Jason Knight 1915 −6
  11. 85'Bristol City:Sam Bellis 1859 0 for Yu Hirakawa 1897 −4
  12. 87'Sheffield Utd:Jamal Baptiste 1702 −6* for Thomas Cannon 2022 +17
  13. 90+6'Bristol City:Brian de Keersmaecker 1825 0

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-4-2
GS. Tickle18160
DG. Tanner1907−3
DL. McNally1855−1
DR. Atkinson1910−6
DC. Pring1871−3
MJ. Knight1915−6
MG. Yah16780
MY. Hirakawa1897−4
MRio Cardines17440
MS. Twine1938−4
FD. Ballard1864−1
CM. Skubala2003−25
GM. Cooper2022+17
DM. McGuinness2007+45
DJ. Tanganga2034+48
DL. Kitching2183+25
DH. Burrows1996+11*
MT. Chong1950+16
MK. Phillips1928+20
MO. Arblaster1927+56
MB. Brereton2040+14
FT. Cannon2022+17
FJ. Ayew1808+8*
CChris Wilder2021+33
Before kick-off: 35% · 29% · 36%(Bristol City · draw · Sheffield Utd)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 0–1 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bristol City €2.2M, Sheffield Utd €3.7M.
  • Sheffield Utd were without 1 expected starter: H. Choudhury (2006).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bristol City

12th in Championship · 14 pts from 10

  • 13 OctLBlackburn 1862
  • 10 OctDCharlton 1887
  • 18 SepWWatford 1859
  • 15 SepLLincoln 1858
  • 12 SepLSouthampton 1881

Sheffield Utd

15th in Championship · 12 pts from 10

  • 14 OctLPortsmouth 2005
  • 10 OctWLincoln 1972
  • 19 SepLStoke City 1935
  • 16 SepLFleetwood Town 1924
  • 13 SepLWolves 1982

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bristol City14 /1055.10%<1%16%20th
Sheffield Utd12 /1059.90%2%5%14th
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Rio Cardines
Rio Cardines

Bristol City · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1744

J. Tanganga
J. Tanganga

Sheffield Utd · +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1987

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Michael Skubala

Coach DNA: direct

Christopher John Wilder

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bristol City: balanced profile (how Michael Skubala plays) · Sheffield Utd: balanced profile (how Christopher John Wilder plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.