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Championship · Regular Season - 10

Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn

Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol

Bristol City crestBristol CityTeam 1850
0–1
Full time
HT 0–1
Blackburn crestBlackburnTeam 1871

Match story

Bristol City · draw · Blackburn

Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 31%

Live chances: Bristol City 0%, draw 3%, Blackburn 97% at 90+5'2' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 28%, Blackburn 31%3' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 28%, Blackburn 31%4' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 28%, Blackburn 31%5' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%6' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%7' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%8' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%9' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%10' · 0–0 · Bristol City 40%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%11' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 29%, Blackburn 31%12' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%13' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%14' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%15' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%16' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%17' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 30%, Blackburn 31%18' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 31%, Blackburn 31%19' · 0–0 · Bristol City 39%, draw 31%, Blackburn 31%20' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 31%, Blackburn 31%21' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 31%, Blackburn 31%22' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 31%, Blackburn 30%23' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 32%, Blackburn 30%24' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 32%, Blackburn 30%25' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 32%, Blackburn 30%26' · 0–0 · Bristol City 38%, draw 32%, Blackburn 30%27' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 32%, Blackburn 30%28' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 33%, Blackburn 30%29' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 33%, Blackburn 30%30' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 33%, Blackburn 30%31' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 33%, Blackburn 30%32' · 0–0 · Bristol City 37%, draw 34%, Blackburn 30%33' · 0–0 · Bristol City 36%, draw 34%, Blackburn 30%34' · 0–0 · Bristol City 36%, draw 34%, Blackburn 29%35' · 0–0 · Bristol City 36%, draw 34%, Blackburn 29%36' · 0–0 · Bristol City 36%, draw 35%, Blackburn 29%37' · 0–0 · Bristol City 36%, draw 35%, Blackburn 29%38' · 0–1 · Bristol City 16%, draw 26%, Blackburn 59%39' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 26%, Blackburn 59%40' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 26%, Blackburn 59%41' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 26%, Blackburn 59%42' · 0–1 · Bristol City 15%, draw 26%, Blackburn 60%43' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 26%, Blackburn 60%44' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 26%, Blackburn 60%45' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 26%, Blackburn 60%45+1' · 0–1 · Bristol City 14%, draw 26%, Blackburn 61%HT · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 26%, Blackburn 61%46' · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 26%, Blackburn 62%47' · 0–1 · Bristol City 13%, draw 26%, Blackburn 62%48' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 26%, Blackburn 62%49' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Blackburn 62%50' · 0–1 · Bristol City 12%, draw 25%, Blackburn 63%51' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Blackburn 63%52' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Blackburn 64%53' · 0–1 · Bristol City 11%, draw 25%, Blackburn 64%54' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Blackburn 64%55' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Blackburn 65%56' · 0–1 · Bristol City 10%, draw 25%, Blackburn 65%57' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 25%, Blackburn 66%58' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 25%, Blackburn 66%59' · 0–1 · Bristol City 9%, draw 25%, Blackburn 67%60' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Blackburn 67%61' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Blackburn 68%62' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Blackburn 68%63' · 0–1 · Bristol City 8%, draw 24%, Blackburn 69%64' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 24%, Blackburn 69%65' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 24%, Blackburn 70%66' · 0–1 · Bristol City 7%, draw 23%, Blackburn 70%67' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 23%, Blackburn 71%68' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 23%, Blackburn 71%69' · 0–1 · Bristol City 6%, draw 22%, Blackburn 72%70' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 22%, Blackburn 72%71' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 22%, Blackburn 73%72' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 22%, Blackburn 74%73' · 0–1 · Bristol City 5%, draw 21%, Blackburn 74%74' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 21%, Blackburn 75%75' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 20%, Blackburn 76%76' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 20%, Blackburn 76%77' · 0–1 · Bristol City 4%, draw 19%, Blackburn 77%78' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 19%, Blackburn 78%79' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 18%, Blackburn 79%80' · 0–1 · Bristol City 3%, draw 18%, Blackburn 79%81' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 17%, Blackburn 80%82' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 17%, Blackburn 81%83' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 16%, Blackburn 82%84' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 15%, Blackburn 83%85' · 0–1 · Bristol City 2%, draw 14%, Blackburn 84%86' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 14%, Blackburn 85%87' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 13%, Blackburn 86%88' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 12%, Blackburn 87%89' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 11%, Blackburn 88%90' · 0–1 · Bristol City 1%, draw 10%, Blackburn 90%90+1' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 8%, Blackburn 91%90+2' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 7%, Blackburn 93%90+3' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 6%, Blackburn 94%90+4' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 4%, Blackburn 96%90+5' · 0–1 · Bristol City 0%, draw 3%, Blackburn 97%

Last reading, 90+5': 0% · 3% · 97%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bristol City 40% to win: Blackburn won.

  1. 38'Blackburn:Oladapo Afolayan 1941 +30 assist Sean McLoughlin 1948 +44
  2. 45'Bristol City:Yu Hirakawa 1901 −1 for Sam Greenwood 1794 0
  3. 62'Blackburn:Moussa·Baradji 1785 +20 for Todd Cantwell 1945 +10
  4. 62'Blackburn:Augustus Kargbo 1615 +10 for Ryoya Morishita 1920 +10
  5. 63'Blackburn:J. Fevrier 1837 +6 for Oladapo Afolayan 1941 +30
  6. 67'Bristol City:Brian de Keersmaecker 1826 0 for Jason Knight 1920 −3
  7. 67'Bristol City:Tomi Horvat 1856 −1 for Scott Twine 1942 −4
  8. 73'Blackburn:Andri Guðjohnsen 2006 +2 for Kristi Montgomery 1814 +19
  9. 75'Bristol City:Rio Cardines 1744 0 for George Tanner 1910 −3
  10. 75'Bristol City:Elijah Adebayo 1756 −1 for Jed Wallace 1769 −12*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-2-1
GS. Tickle18160
DG. Tanner1910−3
DL. Eissat1879−2
DR. Atkinson1917−11
DC. Pring1874−2
MG. Yah16780
MJ. Knight1920−3
MJ. Wallace1769−12*
MS. Twine1942−4
MS. Greenwood17940
FD. Ballard18650
CM. Skubala2028−22
GB. Tóth2096+24
DTom Atcheson1943+46
DH. Carter1945+46
DS. McLoughlin1948+44
MR. Alebiosu1945+16
MSam Morsy1863+16
MKristi Montgomery1814+19
MH. Pickering1957+15
MR. Morishita1920+10
MO. Afolayan1941+30
FT. Cantwell1945+10
CTony Mowbray1851+40
Before kick-off: 40% · 28% · 31%(Bristol City · draw · Blackburn)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–1 had 7%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bristol City €2.2M, Blackburn €1.7M.
  • Bristol City were without 1 expected starter: R. Dickie (1922).
  • Home advantage made Bristol City the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bristol City

10th in Championship · 14 pts from 9

  • 10 OctDCharlton 1887
  • 18 SepWWatford 1859
  • 15 SepLLincoln 1858
  • 12 SepLSouthampton 1881
  • 5 SepWBurnley 1821

Blackburn

13th in Championship · 12 pts from 9

  • 10 OctWCardiff 1894
  • 19 SepDPortsmouth 1872
  • 12 SepWMillwall 1829
  • 8 SepLSheffield Utd 1828
  • 5 SepLPreston 1832

Season outlook

From the Championship simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bristol City14 /957.00%1%11%17th
Blackburn12 /955.40%1%14%19th
Bristol City
Blackburn

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Championship

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

S. Twine
S. Twine

Bristol City · +0.8 (Average) · Elo 1946

S. McLoughlin
S. McLoughlin

Blackburn · +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1904

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Michael Skubala

Coach DNA: direct

Tony Mowbray

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bristol City: balanced profile (how Michael Skubala plays) · Blackburn: balanced profile (how Tony Mowbray plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.