A-League · Regular Season - 5
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 08:40 UTC · Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Brisbane Roar host Sydney on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brisbane Roar 30%, draw 29%, Sydney 42%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brisbane Roar €306K, Sydney €418K.
- Style contrast in attacking (A-League): Brisbane Roar rank #9 of 12, Sydney #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brisbane Roar goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–29%
- 0–08%
- 1–08%
- 0–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
Team Elo: Brisbane Roar 1541 · Sydney 1630
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 4 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brisbane Roar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Elite) · Elo 1612
Sydney · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1636
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brisbane Roar
3rd in A-League · 7 pts from 3
- 8 NovWMacarthur A-League1555
- 30 OctDAuckland A-League1548
- 23 OctWPerth Glory A-League1523
- 25 AprLPerth Glory A-League1428
- 18 AprLMelbourne City A-League1451
Sydney
2nd in A-League · 7 pts from 4
- 6 NovWCentral Coast Mariners A-League1600
- 31 OctLMelbourne City A-League1607
- 25 OctWAdelaide United A-League1600
- 16 OctDWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League1619
- 23 MayLAuckland A-League1702
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 7 /3 | 35.5 | 5% | 28% | 18% | 7th |
| Sydney | 7 /4 | 39.1 | 13% | 53% | 5% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: aggressive
Coach DNA: possession-based
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brisbane Roar: balanced profile (how Michael Valkanis plays) · Sydney: possession-based · creative (how P. Kisnorbo plays)