A-League · Regular Season - 3
Brisbane Roar vs Auckland
Fri 30 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC · Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Brisbane Roar host Auckland on Fri 30 Oct 2026 (A-League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brisbane Roar 26%, draw 28%, Auckland 46%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brisbane Roar €284K, Auckland €552K.
- A-League: M. Woud is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1804).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (A-League): Brisbane Roar rank #11 of 12, Auckland #1.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brisbane Roar goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–28%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.8 pts
Team Elo: Brisbane Roar 1529 · Auckland 1675
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 1 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Auckland · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1804
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brisbane Roar
2nd in A-League · 3 pts from 1
- 23 OctWPerth Glory A-League1530
- 25 AprLPerth Glory A-League1435
- 18 AprLMelbourne City A-League1457
- 10 AprDCentral Coast Mariners A-League1461
- 2 AprDSydney A-League1473
Auckland
1st in A-League · 3 pts from 1
- 17 OctWMelbourne City A-League1723
- 26 AugLAl-Ahli Jeddah FIFA Intercontinental Cup1709
- 23 MayWSydney A-League1748
- 15 MayWAdelaide United A-League1712
- 9 MayDAdelaide United A-League1719
Season outlook
From the A-League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brisbane Roar | 3 /1 | 32.6 | 3% | 19% | 34% | 10th |
| Auckland | 3 /1 | 42.0 | 31% | 74% | 3% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: aggressive
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brisbane Roar: balanced profile (how Michael Valkanis plays) · Auckland: high-pressing · direct (how S. Corica plays)