Premier League · Regular Season - 10
Brighton vs Brentford
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Amex Stadium, Brighton
Brighton host Brentford on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brighton 46%, draw 28%, Brentford 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brighton €27.7M, Brentford €28.0M.
- Style contrast in discipline (Premier League): Brighton rank #17 of 20, Brentford #3.
- Brighton are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brighton goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Brighton 2379 · Brentford 2317
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brighton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.4 (Good) · Elo 2533
Brentford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2420
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brighton
3rd in Premier League · 16 pts from 7
- 22 OctDFK Jablonec UEFA Conference League2237
- 18 OctWCrystal Palace Premier League2393
- 15 OctWKauno Žalgiris UEFA Conference League2254
- 10 OctWSunderland Premier League2384
- 19 SepWArsenal Premier League2309
Brentford
6th in Premier League · 10 pts from 7
- 17 OctLLiverpool Premier League2364
- 10 OctDAston Villa Premier League2340
- 18 SepWChelsea Premier League2306
- 15 SepWReading England League Cup2236
- 12 SepDBournemouth Premier League2280
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 16 /7 | 63.5 | 1% | 58% | 0% | 3rd |
| Brentford | 10 /7 | 53.6 | 0% | 10% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brighton: balanced profile (how Fabian Hürzeler plays) · Brentford: balanced profile (how Keith Andrews plays)