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Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Brentford 1–2 Liverpool

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Gtech Community Stadium, London

Brentford crestBrentfordTeam 2350
1–2
Full time
HT 1–0
Liverpool crestLiverpoolTeam 2418

Match story

Brentford · draw · Liverpool

Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 35%

Live chances: Brentford 0%, draw 0%, Liverpool 100% at 90+6'2' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%3' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%4' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 28%, Liverpool 35%5' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%6' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%7' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%8' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%9' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%10' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%11' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%12' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%13' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 29%, Liverpool 35%14' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 30%, Liverpool 35%15' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 30%, Liverpool 35%16' · 0–0 · Brentford 36%, draw 30%, Liverpool 35%17' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 30%, Liverpool 34%18' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 30%, Liverpool 34%19' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 30%, Liverpool 34%20' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 30%, Liverpool 34%21' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%22' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%23' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%24' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%25' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%26' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 31%, Liverpool 34%27' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 32%, Liverpool 34%28' · 0–0 · Brentford 35%, draw 32%, Liverpool 34%29' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 32%, Liverpool 34%30' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 32%, Liverpool 33%31' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 32%, Liverpool 33%32' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 33%, Liverpool 33%33' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 33%, Liverpool 33%34' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 33%, Liverpool 33%35' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 33%, Liverpool 33%36' · 0–0 · Brentford 34%, draw 34%, Liverpool 33%37' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 34%, Liverpool 33%38' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 34%, Liverpool 33%39' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 34%, Liverpool 32%40' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 35%, Liverpool 32%41' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 35%, Liverpool 32%42' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 35%, Liverpool 32%43' · 0–0 · Brentford 33%, draw 35%, Liverpool 32%44' · 0–0 · Brentford 32%, draw 36%, Liverpool 32%45' · 1–0 · Brentford 66%, draw 23%, Liverpool 11%45+1' · 1–0 · Brentford 66%, draw 23%, Liverpool 11%45+2' · 1–0 · Brentford 66%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+3' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+4' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+5' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+6' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+7' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+8' · 1–0 · Brentford 67%, draw 23%, Liverpool 10%45+9' · 1–0 · Brentford 50%, draw 30%, Liverpool 20%45+10' · 1–0 · Brentford 50%, draw 30%, Liverpool 20%45+11' · 1–0 · Brentford 50%, draw 30%, Liverpool 20%HT · 1–0 · Brentford 50%, draw 30%, Liverpool 20%47' · 1–0 · Brentford 50%, draw 30%, Liverpool 20%48' · 1–0 · Brentford 51%, draw 30%, Liverpool 19%49' · 1–0 · Brentford 51%, draw 30%, Liverpool 19%50' · 1–0 · Brentford 52%, draw 30%, Liverpool 18%51' · 1–0 · Brentford 52%, draw 30%, Liverpool 18%52' · 1–0 · Brentford 53%, draw 30%, Liverpool 18%53' · 1–0 · Brentford 53%, draw 30%, Liverpool 17%54' · 1–0 · Brentford 54%, draw 30%, Liverpool 17%55' · 1–0 · Brentford 54%, draw 30%, Liverpool 16%56' · 1–0 · Brentford 55%, draw 30%, Liverpool 16%57' · 1–0 · Brentford 55%, draw 30%, Liverpool 15%58' · 1–0 · Brentford 56%, draw 30%, Liverpool 15%59' · 1–0 · Brentford 57%, draw 29%, Liverpool 14%61' · 1–0 · Brentford 58%, draw 29%, Liverpool 13%62' · 1–0 · Brentford 58%, draw 29%, Liverpool 13%63' · 1–1 · Brentford 16%, draw 45%, Liverpool 39%64' · 1–1 · Brentford 16%, draw 45%, Liverpool 38%65' · 1–1 · Brentford 16%, draw 46%, Liverpool 38%66' · 1–1 · Brentford 16%, draw 47%, Liverpool 37%67' · 1–1 · Brentford 16%, draw 48%, Liverpool 36%68' · 1–1 · Brentford 15%, draw 49%, Liverpool 36%69' · 1–1 · Brentford 15%, draw 50%, Liverpool 35%70' · 1–1 · Brentford 15%, draw 51%, Liverpool 34%71' · 1–2 · Brentford 3%, draw 15%, Liverpool 82%72' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 15%, Liverpool 82%73' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 15%, Liverpool 83%74' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 15%, Liverpool 83%75' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 14%, Liverpool 83%76' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 14%, Liverpool 84%77' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 14%, Liverpool 84%78' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 14%, Liverpool 85%79' · 1–2 · Brentford 2%, draw 13%, Liverpool 85%80' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 13%, Liverpool 86%81' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 12%, Liverpool 86%82' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 12%, Liverpool 87%83' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 12%, Liverpool 87%84' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 11%, Liverpool 88%85' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 11%, Liverpool 89%86' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 10%, Liverpool 89%87' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 9%, Liverpool 90%88' · 1–2 · Brentford 1%, draw 9%, Liverpool 91%89' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 8%, Liverpool 92%90' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 7%, Liverpool 93%90+1' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 6%, Liverpool 93%90+2' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 5%, Liverpool 95%90+3' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 3%, Liverpool 97%90+4' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 2%, Liverpool 98%90+5' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 1%, Liverpool 99%90+6' · 1–2 · Brentford 0%, draw 0%, Liverpool 100%

Last reading, 90+6': 0% · 0% · 100%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Brentford 36% to win: Liverpool won.

  1. 31'Liverpool:Bradley Barcola 2528 +12
  2. 32'Liverpool:Treymaurice Nyoni 1499 +40 for Dominik Szoboszlai 2517 +4
  3. 44'Brentford:Keane Lewis-Potter 2336 −8 assist Igor Thiago 2388 −6
  4. 45'Liverpool:Jeremie Frimpong 2409 +1 for Ronald Araujo 2596 +4
  5. 45'Brentford:Kevin Schade 2359 −2 for Dango Ouattara 2366 −2
  6. 45'Brentford:Mamadou Sangare 2255 0 for Mathias Jensen 2266 −3
  7. 45+8'Brentford:Yehor Yarmoliuk 2318 −1
  8. 46'Brentford:Igor Thiago 2388 −6
  9. 49'Liverpool:Jérémy Jacquet 2364 +18
  10. 52'Liverpool:Rio Ngumoha 2107 +33 for Jeremie Frimpong 2409 +1
  11. 53'Liverpool:Alexis Mac Allister 2546 +30
  12. 60'Brentford:Kevin Schade 2359 −2
  13. 62'Liverpool:Víctor Muñoz 2210 +62 assist Florian Wirtz 2539 +32
  14. 63'Brentford:Vitaly Janelt 2377 −7
  15. 70'Liverpool:Alexander Isak 2497 +23* assist Bradley Barcola 2528 +12
  16. 71'Brentford:Aaron Hickey 2283 0 for Sepp van den Berg 2333 −10*
  17. 77'Brentford:El Hadji Malick Diouf 2268 0 for Keane Lewis-Potter 2336 −8
  18. 77'Brentford:Mikkel Damsgaard 2344 −1 for Jaidon Anthony 2232 −1
  19. 79'Liverpool:Lewis Koumas 2027 +4 for Alexander Isak 2497 +23*
  20. 79'Liverpool:Joe Gomez 2427 0 for Víctor Muñoz 2210 +62
  21. 90+2'Brentford:Vitaly Janelt 2377 −7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GC. Kelleher2420−8
DM. Kayode2472−31
DK. Ajer2458−11
DS. van den Berg2333−10*
DK. Lewis-Potter2336−8
MY. Yarmolyuk2318−1
MV. Janelt2377−7
MD. Ouattara2366−2
MM. Jensen2266−3
MJ. Anthony2232−1
FThiago2388−6
CKeith Andrews2374−10
GAlisson Becker2523+10
DR. Araújo2596+4
DJ. Jacquet2364+18
DV. van Dijk2438+35
DM. Kerkez2483+13
MD. Szoboszlai2517+4
MA. Mac Allister2546+30
MVíctor Muñoz2210+62
MF. Wirtz2539+32
MB. Barcola2528+12
FA. Isak2497+23*
CAndoni Iraola2515+23
Before kick-off: 36% · 28% · 35%(Brentford · draw · Liverpool)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 8%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Brentford €27.8M, Liverpool €43.5M.
  • Home advantage made Brentford the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in chance creation (Premier League): Brentford ranked #19 of 20, Liverpool #1.
  • Brentford were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Brentford

4th in Premier League · 10 pts from 6

  • 10 OctDAston Villa 2340
  • 18 SepWChelsea 2306
  • 15 SepWReading 2236
  • 12 SepDBournemouth 2280
  • 5 SepDSunderland 2365

Liverpool

9th in Premier League · 9 pts from 6

  • 14 OctWLask Linz 2239
  • 11 OctLManchester City 2397
  • 20 SepWBournemouth 2463
  • 15 SepWTottenham 2133
  • 12 SepDFulham 2388

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Brentford10 /655.9<1%22%<1%4th
Liverpool9 /656.80%25%<1%4th
Brentford
Liverpool

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Y. Yarmolyuk
Y. Yarmolyuk

Brentford · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2319

V. van Dijk
V. van Dijk

Liverpool · +4.9 (Good) · Elo 2402

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Keith Andrews

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Andoni Iraola

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Brentford: balanced profile (how Keith Andrews plays) · Liverpool: creative · possession-based (how Andoni Iraola plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.