Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Brentford vs Everton
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC · Brentford Community Stadium, London
Brentford host Everton on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brentford 43%, draw 28%, Everton 29%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brentford €28.2M, Everton €23.6M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brentford goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–07%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.5 pts
Team Elo: Brentford 2329 · Everton 2309
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brentford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 2442
Everton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.9 (Elite) · Elo 2482
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brentford
8th in Premier League · 14 pts from 10
- 8 NovLBrighton Premier League2370
- 31 OctWNottingham Forest Premier League2347
- 28 OctLSunderland England League Cup2257
- 25 OctDHull City Premier League2347
- 17 OctLLiverpool Premier League2355
Everton
6th in Premier League · 16 pts from 10
- 6 NovWCoventry Premier League2270
- 2 NovWNewcastle Premier League2301
- 29 OctWNewcastle England League Cup2214
- 24 OctLArsenal Premier League2264
- 17 OctLChelsea Premier League2314
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 14 /10 | 53.7 | 0% | 8% | 1% | 7th |
| Everton | 16 /10 | 53.8 | 0% | 8% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brentford: balanced profile (how Keith Andrews plays) · Everton: direct (how D. Moyes plays)