Úrvalsdeild · Championship Group - 4
Breidablik 1–2 Vikingur Reykjavik
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC
BreidablikTeam 1451Vikingur ReykjavikTeam 1587- J. Arnarsson 19'
- D. Hafsteinsson 61'
- S. Hauksson 68'
We gave Vikingur Reykjavik 40% to win: they did.
- I. Arnason –13'Breidablik:I. Arnason –
- J. Arnarsson – assist D. Ingvarsson –19'Breidablik:J. Arnarsson – assist D. Ingvarsson –
- A. Ludviksson –22'Breidablik:A. Ludviksson –
- V. Margeirsson – for I. Arnason –30'Breidablik:V. Margeirsson – for I. Arnason –
- O. Skulason –41'Breidablik:O. Skulason –
- 61'D. Hafsteinsson – assist V. Ingimundarson –Vikingur Reykjavik:D. Hafsteinsson – assist V. Ingimundarson –
- 63'S. Hauksson – for A. Finnbogason –Vikingur Reykjavik:S. Hauksson – for A. Finnbogason –
- 63'D. Jonsson – for S. Thordarson –Vikingur Reykjavik:D. Jonsson – for S. Thordarson –
- T. Ulfarsson – for J. Arnarsson –66'Breidablik:T. Ulfarsson – for J. Arnarsson –
- A. Bjarnason – for B. Thorsteinsson –66'Breidablik:A. Bjarnason – for B. Thorsteinsson –
- 68'S. Hauksson –Vikingur Reykjavik:S. Hauksson –
- 74'N. Hansen – for A. Thrandarson –Vikingur Reykjavik:N. Hansen – for A. Thrandarson –
- G. Hallsson – for H. Karlsson –80'Breidablik:G. Hallsson – for H. Karlsson –
- A. Gunnleifsson – for V. Einarsson –80'Breidablik:A. Gunnleifsson – for V. Einarsson –
- 82'S. Stefansson – for O. Ekroth –Vikingur Reykjavik:S. Stefansson – for O. Ekroth –
- 82'K. Gunnarsson – for D. Atlason –Vikingur Reykjavik:K. Gunnarsson – for D. Atlason –
- 89'N. Hansen –Vikingur Reykjavik:N. Hansen –
- A. Orrason –89'Breidablik:A. Orrason –
- 89'D. Hafsteinsson –Vikingur Reykjavik:D. Hafsteinsson –
Before kick-off (provisional): 31% · 29% · 40%(Breidablik · draw · Vikingur Reykjavik)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Breidablik €212K, Vikingur Reykjavik €239K.
- A. Einarsson, Í. Árnason, V. Margeirsson, Á. Orrason, V. Einarsson, D. Ingvarsson, G. Snaer, A. Bjarnason and K. Kristinsson (Breidablik) had not played for over 90 days.
- E. Ómarsson (Vikingur Reykjavik) had not played for over 90 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Breidablik
4th in Úrvalsdeild · 30 pts from 22
- 13 JulWKeflavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1439
- 29 MayLFram Reykjavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1481
- 22 MayWKR Reykjavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1469
- 17 MayLValur Reykjavik Iceland Urvalsdeild1477
- 8 MayDFH Hafnarfjordur Iceland Urvalsdeild1480
Vikingur Reykjavik
1st in Úrvalsdeild · 53 pts from 22
- 27 AugLBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1536
- 20 AugLBorac Banja Luka UEFA Conference League1547
- 13 AugWFC Thun UEFA Europa League1542
- 6 AugLFC Thun UEFA Europa League1532
- 29 JulLHapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League1618
Season outlook
From the Úrvalsdeild simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breidablik | 30 /22 | 32.4 | 0% | 41% | 0% | 4th |
| Vikingur Reykjavik | 53 /22 | 56.6 | 100% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 12th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Breidablik · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1539
Vikingur Reykjavik · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Elite) · Elo 1617
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –