Eliteserien · Regular Season - 23
Brann 0–2 Viking
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Brann Stadion, Bergen
BrannTeam 1688VikingTeam 1920We gave Viking 54% to win: they did.
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 21% · 24% · 54%(Brann · draw · Viking)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (11%); the result 0–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Brann €909K, Viking €2.1M.
- Brann were without 2 expected starters: K. Ingason (1801) and U. Mathisen (1688).
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Eliteserien): Brann ranked #2 of 19, Viking #16.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brann
7th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 21
- 20 SepWBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1723
- 13 SepLStart Eliteserien1724
- 5 SepLLillestrom Eliteserien1746
- 30 AugDSandefjord Eliteserien1779
- 27 AugWPAOK UEFA Conference League1769
Viking
1st in Eliteserien · 50 pts from 21
- 20 SepWLillestrom Eliteserien1929
- 13 SepWKristiansund BK Eliteserien1911
- 9 SepLVfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League1896
- 4 SepDSandefjord Eliteserien1895
- 30 AugWAalesund Eliteserien1867
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 29 /21 | 44.1 | 0% | 12% | 0% | 6th |
| Viking | 50 /21 | 67.4 | 21% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Brann · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.5 (Elite) · Elo 1772
Viking · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 1975
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brann: possession-based (how Eirik Horneland plays) · Viking: balanced profile (how Bjarte Andre Lunde Aarsheim plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.