Eliteserien · Regular Season - 25
Brann vs Molde
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC · Brann Stadion, Bergen
Brann host Molde on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Brann 36%, draw 29%, Molde 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Brann €876K, Molde €1.0M.
- Home advantage makes Brann the favourite here: it adds 2 points to their win chance.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Brann goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Brann 1722 · Molde 1735
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Brann · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Elite) · Elo 1739

Molde · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Average) · Elo 1767
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Brann
7th in Eliteserien · 29 pts from 23
- 18 OctLValerenga Eliteserien1730
- 15 OctWLincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Conference League1736
- 9 OctLViking Eliteserien1719
- 20 SepWBodo/Glimt Eliteserien1723
- 13 SepLStart Eliteserien1724
Molde
3rd in Eliteserien · 40 pts from 23
- 18 OctWStart Eliteserien1681
- 11 OctDLillestrom Eliteserien1685
- 19 SepLAalesund Eliteserien1669
- 13 SepWHam-Kam Eliteserien1665
- 6 SepWKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1701
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 29 /23 | 40.7 | 0% | 1% | <1% | 7th |
| Molde | 40 /23 | 49.4 | 0% | 61% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Brann: possession-based (how Eirik Horneland plays) · Molde: possession-based (how Sindre Tjelmeland plays)