League One · Regular Season - 11
Bradford 2–0 Stevenage
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Valley Parade, Bradford
BradfordTeam 1834StevenageTeam 1746- Antoni Sarcevic 79' (pen)
- Will Swan 87'
We gave Bradford 50% to win: they did.
- 53'Ben Broggio 1587 0 for Wanya Marcal 1696 0Stevenage:Ben Broggio 1587 0 for Wanya Marcal 1696 0
- Corey O'Keeffe 1817 +13 for Kayden Jackson 1767 +2657'Bradford:Corey O'Keeffe 1817 +13 for Kayden Jackson 1767 +26
- Nick Powell 1652 +19 for Jake Beesley 1834 +757'Bradford:Nick Powell 1652 +19 for Jake Beesley 1834 +7
- 65'Louis Thompson 1685 −4 for Matthew Smith 1749 −3Stevenage:Louis Thompson 1685 −4 for Matthew Smith 1749 −3
- Will Swan 1823 +10 for Adam Phillips 1774 +1165'Bradford:Will Swan 1823 +10 for Adam Phillips 1774 +11
- Stephen Humphrys 1781 +3 for Bobby Pointon 1908 +765'Bradford:Stephen Humphrys 1781 +3 for Bobby Pointon 1908 +7
- 66'Michael Mellon 1683 0 for O. Sanderson 1635 0Stevenage:Michael Mellon 1683 0 for O. Sanderson 1635 0
- 79'Daniel Phillips 1759 −5Stevenage:Daniel Phillips 1759 −5
- Antoni Sarcevic 1796 +20 (pen.)79'Bradford:Antoni Sarcevic 1796 +20 (pen.)
- Callumm Connolly 1885 +981'Bradford:Callumm Connolly 1885 +9
- 82'Terry·Taylor 1638 0 for Josh Magennis 1518 −8Stevenage:Terry·Taylor 1638 0 for Josh Magennis 1518 −8
- 82'Phoenix Patterson 1735 −1 for Daniel Phillips 1759 −5Stevenage:Phoenix Patterson 1735 −1 for Daniel Phillips 1759 −5
- Will Swan 1823 +1087'Bradford:Will Swan 1823 +10
- Macauley Gillesphey 1829 −2 for Antoni Sarcevic 1796 +2090+7'Bradford:Macauley Gillesphey 1829 −2 for Antoni Sarcevic 1796 +20
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 50% · 27% · 24%(Bradford · draw · Stevenage)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Bradford €545K, Stevenage €377K.
- Bradford were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bradford
2nd in League One · 17 pts from 9
- 10 OctDLeyton Orient England League One1823
- 6 OctWRotherham England EFL Trophy1625
- 3 OctDReading England League One1823
- 22 SepWNewcastle United U21 England EFL Trophy1731
- 19 SepWLuton England League One1824
Stevenage
9th in League One · 12 pts from 8
- 10 OctWWigan England League One1724
- 6 OctWLeicester England EFL Trophy1631
- 22 SepWWalsall England EFL Trophy1676
- 19 SepLLeyton Orient England League One1711
- 10 SepWLuton England League One1701
Season outlook
From the League One simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 17 /9 | 68.9 | 6% | 31% | 1% | 4th |
| Stevenage | 12 /8 | 57.1 | <1% | 3% | 12% | 16th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bradford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1879
Stevenage · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1793
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bradford: balanced profile (how Michael James Duff plays) · Stevenage: direct (how Alexander David Revell plays)