League One · Regular Season - 16
Bradford vs Doncaster
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Valley Parade, Bradford
Bradford host Doncaster on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bradford 50%, draw 27%, Doncaster 23%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bradford €442K, Doncaster €391K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bradford goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–011%
- 2–19%
- 2–09%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores43%
Team Elo: Bradford 1801 · Doncaster 1710
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bradford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1840
Doncaster · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Average) · Elo 1725
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bradford
7th in League One · 22 pts from 13
- 10 NovWYork England EFL Trophy1673
- 31 OctLHuddersfield England League One1786
- 27 OctWPeterborough England League Cup1829
- 24 OctDOxford United England League One1824
- 20 OctDBurton Albion England League One1853
Doncaster
20th in League One · 12 pts from 13
- 7 NovLKidderminster Harriers England FA Cup1725
- 31 OctLMilton Keynes Dons England League One1723
- 27 OctLLuton England League One1724
- 24 OctWSheffield Wednesday England League One1701
- 20 OctLStockport County England League One1727
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 22 /13 | 68.7 | 2% | 19% | <1% | 8th |
| Doncaster | 12 /13 | 50.9 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 21st |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bradford: balanced profile (how M. Duff plays) · Doncaster: balanced profile (how G. McCann plays)