League One · Regular Season - 8
Bradford vs Barnsley
Tue 24 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Valley Parade, Bradford
Bradford host Barnsley on Tue 24 Nov 2026 (League One); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bradford 54%, draw 26%, Barnsley 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bradford €442K, Barnsley €386K.
- Only 2 of Barnsley's expected starters are past their position's peak age.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bradford goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–010%
- 2–110%
- 2–09%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Bradford 1801 · Barnsley 1664
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bradford · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1840
Barnsley · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.0 (Average) · Elo 1688
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bradford
7th in League One · 22 pts from 13
- 10 NovWYork England EFL Trophy1673
- 31 OctLHuddersfield England League One1786
- 27 OctWPeterborough England League Cup1829
- 24 OctDOxford United England League One1824
- 20 OctDBurton Albion England League One1853
Barnsley
23rd in League One · 9 pts from 12
- 31 OctDOxford United England League One1680
- 24 OctLReading England League One1684
- 20 OctLLuton England League One1669
- 17 OctLCambridge United England League One1668
- 10 OctLStockport County England League One1659
Season outlook
From the League One simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford | 22 /13 | 68.7 | 2% | 19% | <1% | 8th |
| Barnsley | 9 /12 | 44.7 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 24th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bradford: balanced profile (how M. Duff plays) · Barnsley: balanced profile (how Daniel Stendel plays)