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Premier League · Regular Season - 7

Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland

Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth

Bournemouth crestBournemouthTeam 2244
2–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Sunderland crestSunderlandTeam 2154

Match story

Bournemouth · draw · Sunderland

Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%

Live chances: Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0% at 90+6'1' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 27%, Sunderland 24%2' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 27%, Sunderland 24%3' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 28%, Sunderland 24%4' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 28%, Sunderland 24%5' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 28%, Sunderland 24%6' · 0–0 · Bournemouth 48%, draw 28%, Sunderland 24%7' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%8' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%9' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%10' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%11' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%12' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%13' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%14' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%15' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%16' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%17' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%18' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 73%, draw 18%, Sunderland 9%19' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%20' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%21' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%22' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%23' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%24' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%25' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%26' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%27' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%28' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%29' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%30' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%31' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%32' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 10%, Sunderland 3%33' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%34' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%35' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%36' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%37' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%38' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%39' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%40' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%41' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 87%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%42' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%43' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%44' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 3%45' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+1' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+2' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+3' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+4' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+5' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%45+6' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%HT · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%46' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%47' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%48' · 1–0 · Bournemouth 86%, draw 11%, Sunderland 2%49' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%50' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%51' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%52' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%53' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%54' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%55' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%56' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%57' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%58' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%59' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 2%, Sunderland 0%60' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%61' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%62' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 98%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%63' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%64' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%65' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%66' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%67' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%68' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%69' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%70' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%71' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%72' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%73' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%74' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%75' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%76' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%77' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%78' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%79' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%80' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%81' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%82' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 99%, draw 1%, Sunderland 0%83' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%84' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%85' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%86' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%88' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%89' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+1' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+2' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+3' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+4' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+5' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%90+6' · 2–0 · Bournemouth 100%, draw 0%, Sunderland 0%

Last reading, 90+6': 100% · 0% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bournemouth 49% to win: they did.

  1. 6'Bournemouth:Marcus Tavernier 2350 +18 assist Francisco Evanilson 2335 +19
  2. 17'Sunderland:Kevin Danso 2272 −2
  3. 26'Bournemouth:Antonio Silva 2330 +23
  4. 40'Sunderland:Omar Alderete 2252 −7
  5. 45+6'Bournemouth:Lewis Cook 2298 +15
  6. 48'Bournemouth:Francisco Evanilson 2335 +19
  7. 59'Sunderland:Habib Diarra 2256 −10* for Timur Tutierov 1296 0
  8. 59'Sunderland:Luke O'Nien 2060 −4 for Omar Alderete 2252 −7
  9. 62'Bournemouth:Justin Kluivert 2295 +2 for Lewis Cook 2298 +15
  10. 65'Sunderland:Chris Rigg 2084 0
  11. 65'Sunderland:Jules Ahoka 1791 0 for Chris Rigg 2084 0
  12. 79'Bournemouth:Ryan Christie 2209 +9
  13. 79'Bournemouth:Álvaro Rodríguez 2024 +2 for Francisco Evanilson 2335 +19
  14. 79'Bournemouth:Amine Adli 2271 +1 for Marcus Tavernier 2350 +18
  15. 89'Bournemouth:Bafode Diakite 2267 0 for Tyler Adams 2302 +24
  16. 89'Bournemouth:Ben Gannon-Doak 2067 0 for Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha 2288 +27

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-2-3-1
GĐ. Petrović2346+8
DA. Smith2018+46
DJ. Hill2343+22
DAntónio Silva2330+23
DA. Truffert2387+18
MT. Adams2302+24
MR. Christie2209+9
MRayan2288+27
ML. Cook2298+15
MM. Tavernier2350+18
FEvanilson2335+19
CM. Rose2219+23
GR. Roefs2264−8
DN. Mukiele2280−11
DK. Danso2272−2
DO. Alderete2252−7
DReinildo2226−10
MG. Xhaka2235−13
MN. Sadiki2306−11
MT. Hume2340−13
ME. Le Fée2271−9
MC. Rigg20840
FTimur Tuterov12960
CR. Le Bris2262−16
Before kick-off: 49% · 27% · 24%(Bournemouth · draw · Sunderland)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bournemouth €24.6M, Sunderland €18.3M.
  • Bournemouth were without 1 expected starter: A. Scott (2431).
  • Sunderland were without 2 expected starters: D. Ballard (2256) and T. Meunier (2070).

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bournemouth

19th in Premier League · 3 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWSturm Graz 2185
  • 10 OctLChelsea 2269
  • 20 SepLLiverpool 2299
  • 17 SepWReal Sociedad 2289
  • 12 SepDBrentford 2291

Sunderland

18th in Premier League · 4 pts from 6

  • 15 OctWTorreense 2042
  • 10 OctLBrighton 2247
  • 20 SepLManchester City 2224
  • 16 SepWAZ Alkmaar 2251
  • 12 SepLArsenal 2255

Season outlook

From the Premier League simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bournemouth3 /642.20%1%25%17th
Sunderland4 /639.60%<1%38%18th
Bournemouth
Sunderland

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier League

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

A. Truffert
A. Truffert

Bournemouth · +1.8 (Good) · Elo 2370

G. Xhaka
G. Xhaka

Sunderland · +8.1 (Elite) · Elo 2248

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Marco Rose

Coach DNA: possession-based

Régis Le Bris

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bournemouth: direct (how Marco Rose plays) · Sunderland: balanced profile (how Régis Le Bris plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.