Premier League · Regular Season - 11
Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Bournemouth host Nottingham Forest on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Premier League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bournemouth 45%, draw 28%, Nottingham Forest 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bournemouth €28.8M, Nottingham Forest €22.0M.
- Bournemouth have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bournemouth goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 0–17%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.6 pts
Team Elo: Bournemouth 2327 · Nottingham Forest 2286
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bournemouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2448
Nottingham Forest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Good) · Elo 2341
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bournemouth
7th in Premier League · 15 pts from 10
- 8 NovWIpswich Premier League2365
- 5 NovWSparta Praha UEFA Europa League2225
- 31 OctWLeeds Premier League2341
- 28 OctWAston Villa England League Cup2212
- 25 OctWManchester United Premier League2307
Nottingham Forest
16th in Premier League · 9 pts from 10
- 7 NovWManchester City Premier League2228
- 31 OctLBrentford Premier League2250
- 23 OctDIpswich Premier League2250
- 18 OctLArsenal Premier League2254
- 11 OctLCrystal Palace Premier League2287
Season outlook
From the Premier League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 15 /10 | 55.0 | 0% | 11% | <1% | 6th |
| Nottingham Forest | 9 /10 | 46.5 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 13th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bournemouth: balanced profile (how Marco Rose plays) · Nottingham Forest: balanced profile (how Oliver Glasner plays)