Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 10
Boulogne vs Reims
Mon 26 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Boulogne host Reims on Mon 26 Oct 2026 (Ligue 2); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boulogne 22%, draw 26%, Reims 52%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boulogne €406K, Reims €1.6M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Ligue 2 matchday 10: 279 points.
- Ligue 2: T. Hülsmann is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1985).
- Reims are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boulogne goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–110%
- 1–210%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Boulogne 1527 · Reims 1806
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boulogne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1520
Reims · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 (Good) · Elo 1902
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boulogne
12th in Ligue 2 · 9 pts from 9
- 16 OctWGrenoble France Ligue 21463
- 9 OctDSochaux France Ligue 21496
- 19 SepLNantes France Ligue 21425
- 11 SepDClermont Foot France Ligue 21400
- 4 SepDDijon France Ligue 21455
Reims
2nd in Ligue 2 · 17 pts from 9
- 16 OctWDijon France Ligue 21828
- 10 OctDNantes France Ligue 21834
- 18 SepDMontpellier France Ligue 21827
- 11 SepWNancy France Ligue 21807
- 5 SepDGuingamp France Ligue 21815
Season outlook
From the Ligue 2 simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boulogne | 9 /9 | 36.6 | 0% | <1% | 38% | 16th |
| Reims | 17 /9 | 60.9 | 15% | 85% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boulogne: balanced profile (how Fabien Dagneaux plays) · Reims: balanced profile (how Nicolas Usaï plays)