First League · Regular Season - 15
Botev Vratsa vs CSKA 1948
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC · Hristo Botev Stadium, Vraca
Botev Vratsa host CSKA 1948 on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (First League); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Botev Vratsa 20%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 55%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Botev Vratsa €276K, CSKA 1948 €643K.
- Style contrast in chance creation (First League): Botev Vratsa rank #16 of 16, CSKA 1948 #4.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Botev Vratsa goals first.
- 0–113%
- 1–112%
- 0–211%
- 1–210%
- 0–08%
- 1–07%
- Other scores39%
Team Elo: Botev Vratsa 1367 · CSKA 1948 1682
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
CSKA 1948 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1843
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Botev Vratsa
13th in First League · 10 pts from 14
- 7 NovLLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1375
- 2 NovLCherno More Varna Bulgarian First League1378
- 24 OctDLokomotiv Sofia Bulgarian First League1376
- 10 OctLSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1412
- 19 SepDDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1411
CSKA 1948
4th in First League · 29 pts from 14
- 7 NovDLudogorets Bulgarian First League1671
- 30 OctWSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1649
- 23 OctWBotev Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1618
- 11 OctLCSKA Sofia Bulgarian First League1628
- 18 SepWSlavia Sofia Bulgarian First League1664
Season outlook
From the First League simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 10 /14 | 22.7 | 0% | 0% | 59% | 14th |
| CSKA 1948 | 29 /14 | 49.6 | 2% | 93% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Botev Vratsa: direct · low-volume (how Todor Simov plays) · CSKA 1948: balanced profile (how Aleksandar Aleksandrov plays)