First League · Regular Season - 11
Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Slavia Sofia
Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Hristo Botev Stadium, Plovdiv
Botev PlovdivTeam 1529Slavia SofiaTeam 1396We gave Botev Plovdiv 52% to win: they did.
- 34'Vladimir Miletic 1486 −9*Slavia Sofia:Vladimir Miletic 1486 −9*
- Bogdan Kostov 1406 for velian vidolov 1271 +28*46'Botev Plovdiv:Bogdan Kostov 1406 for velian vidolov 1271 +28*
- Carlos Meotti 1451 for Bryan Hein 1615 +6*46'Botev Plovdiv:Carlos Meotti 1451 for Bryan Hein 1615 +6*
- 46'yoan bornosuzov 1549 for Vladimir Nikolov 1465 0Slavia Sofia:yoan bornosuzov 1549 for Vladimir Nikolov 1465 0
- alberto tajero saido 1470 +14*46'Botev Plovdiv:alberto tajero saido 1470 +14*
- 62'Emil Stoev 1467 −11*Slavia Sofia:Emil Stoev 1467 −11*
- Nikola Soldo 1700 +1*67'Botev Plovdiv:Nikola Soldo 1700 +1*
- mascote 1399 for alberto tajero saido 1470 +14*68'Botev Plovdiv:mascote 1399 for alberto tajero saido 1470 +14*
- Carlos algarra 1532 for Asen Chandarov 1612 +1368'Botev Plovdiv:Carlos algarra 1532 for Asen Chandarov 1612 +13
- 74'Roberto Iliev Raychev 1397 for vasil kazaldzhiev 1070 −8*Slavia Sofia:Roberto Iliev Raychev 1397 for vasil kazaldzhiev 1070 −8*
- 74'umaro balde 1361 for Emil Stoev 1467 −11*Slavia Sofia:umaro balde 1361 for Emil Stoev 1467 −11*
- Georgi Milanov 1373 for Mauro Rodrigues 1525 +11*83'Botev Plovdiv:Georgi Milanov 1373 for Mauro Rodrigues 1525 +11*
- Vladimir Mendes 1477 +14*84'Botev Plovdiv:Vladimir Mendes 1477 +14*
- 88'Dimitar Burov 1141 −9*Slavia Sofia:Dimitar Burov 1141 −9*
- 89'Jordan Semedo Varela 1443 for Dimitar Burov 1141 −9*Slavia Sofia:Jordan Semedo Varela 1443 for Dimitar Burov 1141 −9*
- 89'emilian gogev 1154 for Kristiyan Stoyanov 1591 −15*Slavia Sofia:emilian gogev 1154 for Kristiyan Stoyanov 1591 −15*
- 90+2'Slavia Sofia:
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 52% · 27% · 21%(Botev Plovdiv · draw · Slavia Sofia)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–0 had 10%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Botev Plovdiv €390K, Slavia Sofia €261K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Botev Plovdiv
6th in First League · 16 pts from 10
- 19 SepWSeptemvri Sofia Bulgarian First League1520
- 13 SepWLokomotiv Plovdiv Bulgarian First League1526
- 4 SepWArda Kardzhali Bulgarian First League1507
- 30 AugLLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1488
- 24 AugLBotev Vratsa Bulgarian First League1495
Slavia Sofia
7th in First League · 11 pts from 10
- 18 SepLCSKA 1948 Bulgarian First League1437
- 13 SepDSpartak Varna Bulgarian First League1478
- 7 SepWDunav Ruse Bulgarian First League1452
- 2 SepLLevski Sofia Bulgarian First League1444
- 28 AugDSeptemvri Sofia Bulgarian First League1446
Season outlook
From the First League simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 16 /10 | 40.0 | 0% | 15% | <1% | 5th |
| Slavia Sofia | 11 /10 | 30.1 | 0% | <1% | 10% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 14th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Botev Plovdiv · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.3 (Below) · Elo 1713
Slavia Sofia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Good) · Elo 1495
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Botev Plovdiv: balanced profile (how Stanislav Petrov Genchev plays) · Slavia Sofia: balanced profile (how Ratko Dostanić plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.