Primera División · Clausura - 11
Boston River 1–0 Defensor Sporting
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC · Estadio Campeones Olimpicos, Florida
Boston RiverTeam 1497Defensor SportingTeam 1480- lautaro vazquez 16'
We gave Boston River 43% to win: they did.
- lautaro vazquez –16'Boston River:lautaro vazquez –
- Martín González –32'Boston River:Martín González –
- lautaro vazquez –39'Boston River:lautaro vazquez –
- Rodrigo Agustín Saravia Salvia –43'Boston River:Rodrigo Agustín Saravia Salvia –
- Juan Manuel Acosta –45'Boston River:Juan Manuel Acosta –
- 46'alan torterolo – for Xavier biscayzacuDefensor Sporting:alan torterolo – for Xavier biscayzacu
- Ignacio Fernandez62'Boston River:Ignacio Fernandez
- Facundo Saravia – for lautaro vazquez –63'Boston River:Facundo Saravia – for lautaro vazquez –
- 71'Nicolas Scotti – for Guillermo De los Santos –Defensor Sporting:Nicolas Scotti – for Guillermo De los Santos –
- Facundo Saravia –73'Boston River:Facundo Saravia –
- Gastón Ramírez – for Agustin amado –77'Boston River:Gastón Ramírez – for Agustin amado –
- Nicolas Siri – for Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos –78'Boston River:Nicolas Siri – for Facundo Ezequiel Munoa dos Santos –
- 79'Erico·Cuello Gutierrez – for German barrios –Defensor Sporting:Erico·Cuello Gutierrez – for German barrios –
- 79'lautaro navarro – for Lucas agazzi –Defensor Sporting:lautaro navarro – for Lucas agazzi –
- 86'Diego Abella – for gianfranco rodriguez –Defensor Sporting:Diego Abella – for gianfranco rodriguez –
- Agustin Aguirre – for Ignacio Fernandez87'Boston River:Agustin Aguirre – for Ignacio Fernandez
- Felipe Avenatti – for Francisco Bonfiglio –87'Boston River:Felipe Avenatti – for Francisco Bonfiglio –
- Felipe Avenatti –90'Boston River:Felipe Avenatti –
- 90+3'Defensor Sporting:
Before kick-off (provisional): 43% · 28% · 29%(Boston River · draw · Defensor Sporting)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boston River €323K, Defensor Sporting €293K.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boston River
14th in Primera División - Apertura · 34 pts from 32
- 10 OctWWanderers Uruguay Primera Division1480
- 4 OctDJuventud Uruguay Primera Division1473
- 26 SepLPenarol Uruguay Primera Division1478
- 19 SepLProgreso Uruguay Primera Division1468
- 12 SepLRacing Montevideo Uruguay Primera Division1454
Defensor Sporting
12th in Primera División - Apertura · 35 pts from 32
- 10 OctLCerro Uruguay Primera Division1484
- 3 OctLAlbion FC Uruguay Primera Division1474
- 27 SepWDanubio Uruguay Primera Division1472
- 20 SepLClub Nacional Uruguay Primera Division1462
- 13 SepWDeportivo Maldonado Uruguay Primera Division1437
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 89 /69 | 91.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8th |
| Defensor Sporting | 96 /69 | 98.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boston River · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1552
Defensor Sporting · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -0.5 (Below) · Elo 1675
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile