Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Borussia-Park
Borussia Mönchengladbach host Borussia Dortmund on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Borussia Mönchengladbach 16%, draw 22%, Borussia Dortmund 62%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Borussia Mönchengladbach €5.3M, Borussia Dortmund €28.1M.
- Bundesliga: G. Kobel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2494).
- Style contrast in dribbling (Bundesliga): Borussia Mönchengladbach rank #15 of 18, Borussia Dortmund #2.
- Borussia Dortmund's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.9 over 180 days.
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Borussia Mönchengladbach goals first.
- 1–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–18%
- 1–37%
- 0–37%
- Other scores50%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 1.0 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–2expected 4.5 pts
Team Elo: Borussia Mönchengladbach 1934 · Borussia Dortmund 2308
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.4 (Average) · Elo 2073
Borussia Dortmund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 2463
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 4 pts from 9
- 6 NovLHamburger SV Bundesliga1951
- 31 OctDSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga1937
- 27 OctWKarlsruher SC Germany DFB Pokal1907
- 23 OctWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga1857
- 18 OctL1899 Hoffenheim Bundesliga1866
Borussia Dortmund
2nd in Bundesliga · 21 pts from 9
- 7 NovWSV Elversberg Bundesliga2309
- 4 NovWReal Betis UEFA Champions League2380
- 31 OctDBayern München Bundesliga2336
- 27 OctWWerder Bremen Germany DFB Pokal2329
- 24 OctWEintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga2350
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 /9 | 29.2 | 0% | 0% | 72% | 18th |
| Borussia Dortmund | 21 /9 | 68.3 | 5% | 94% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how A. Blessin plays) · Borussia Dortmund: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Niko Kovač plays)