Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC · Borussia-Park, Monchengladbach
Borussia MönchengladbachTeam 1874
1899 HoffenheimTeam 2031Match story
Borussia Mönchengladbach · draw · 1899 HoffenheimBefore kick-off: 28% · 27% · 45%
Last reading, 90+3': 0% · 6% · 94%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Wael Mohya 49'
- Bambasé Conté 11'
- Alexander Prass 54'
We gave 1899 Hoffenheim 45% to win: they did.
- 11'Bambasé Conté 1988 +37 assist Alexander Prass 2123 +23
1899 Hoffenheim:Bambasé Conté 1988 +37 assist Alexander Prass 2123 +23 - Kevin Diks 1995 −1145'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Kevin Diks 1995 −11 - 45+1'Fisnik Asllani 2129 +6
1899 Hoffenheim:Fisnik Asllani 2129 +6 - Wael Mohya 1812 0 assist Florian Neuhaus 1889 −549'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Wael Mohya 1812 0 assist Florian Neuhaus 1889 −5 - Shuto Machino 1911 −2 for Isac Lidberg 1808 −151'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Shuto Machino 1911 −2 for Isac Lidberg 1808 −1 - 54'Alexander Prass 2123 +23 assist Adam Hložek 2012 +30
1899 Hoffenheim:Alexander Prass 2123 +23 assist Adam Hložek 2012 +30 - Daiki Hashioka 1817 −1 for Florian Neuhaus 1889 −560'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Daiki Hashioka 1817 −1 for Florian Neuhaus 1889 −5 - 69'Adam Daghim 1978 +3 for Fisnik Asllani 2129 +6
1899 Hoffenheim:Adam Daghim 1978 +3 for Fisnik Asllani 2129 +6 - 78'Ozan Kabak 2139 +1 for Tim Lemperle 2119 +7
1899 Hoffenheim:Ozan Kabak 2139 +1 for Tim Lemperle 2119 +7 - 78'Andrej Kramarić 1986 −5 for Adam Hložek 2012 +30
1899 Hoffenheim:Andrej Kramarić 1986 −5 for Adam Hložek 2012 +30 - Robin Hack 1945 −2 for Hugo Bolin 1811 078'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Robin Hack 1945 −2 for Hugo Bolin 1811 0 - Iaia Manco Danfa 1730 −8* for Fabio Cristian Chiarodia 1569 078'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Iaia Manco Danfa 1730 −8* for Fabio Cristian Chiarodia 1569 0 - mathieu nguefack 1715 −8* for Zento Uno 1727 079'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:mathieu nguefack 1715 −8* for Zento Uno 1727 0 - 89'Alexander Prass 2123 +23
1899 Hoffenheim:Alexander Prass 2123 +23 - Robin Hack 1945 −289'
Borussia Mönchengladbach:Robin Hack 1945 −2
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 28% · 27% · 45%(Borussia Mönchengladbach · draw · 1899 Hoffenheim)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 1–2 had 9%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Borussia Mönchengladbach €4.6M, 1899 Hoffenheim €12.1M.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach were without 3 expected starters: K. Itakura (2064), F. Honorat (1994) and T. Kleindienst (1989).
- 1899 Hoffenheim were without 2 expected starters: A. Hajdari (2213) and P. Wimmer (2112).
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th in Bundesliga · 0 pts from 5
- 11 OctL1. FC Köln Bundesliga1909
- 19 SepLFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga1916
- 12 SepLSC Freiburg Bundesliga1975
- 5 SepLSV Elversberg Bundesliga1983
- 29 AugLRB Leipzig Bundesliga1976
1899 Hoffenheim
17th in Bundesliga · 3 pts from 5
- 15 OctLBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League2083
- 10 OctLHamburger SV Bundesliga2103
- 20 SepLSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2076
- 17 SepLOFI UEFA Europa League2107
- 12 SepWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2076
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 /5 | 29.6 | 0% | 0% | 73% | 18th |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 3 /5 | 41.2 | 0% | 1% | 10% | 10th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Borussia Mönchengladbach · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 2023

1899 Hoffenheim · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 2153
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Borussia Mönchengladbach: balanced profile (how Alexander Matthias Blessin plays) · 1899 Hoffenheim: balanced profile (how Christian Ilzer plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.