Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg
Sat 7 Nov 2026 · 14:30 UTC · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund host SV Elversberg on Sat 7 Nov 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Borussia Dortmund 71%, draw 18%, SV Elversberg 11%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Borussia Dortmund €33.3M, SV Elversberg €2.5M.
- Draw chance 18%, below the Bundesliga average of 26% this round.
- Bundesliga: G. Kobel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2474).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Borussia Dortmund goals first.
- 2–011%
- 2–19%
- 3–09%
- 1–18%
- 1–08%
- 3–18%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–0expected 1.1 pts
voetbalpoules.nl2–0expected 5.0 pts
Team Elo: Borussia Dortmund 2272 · SV Elversberg 1911
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Borussia Dortmund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2407
SV Elversberg · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 1987
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Borussia Dortmund
2nd in Bundesliga · 14 pts from 6
- 20 OctWSabah FA UEFA Champions League2317
- 17 OctDUnion Berlin Bundesliga2361
- 14 OctLBodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League2272
- 9 OctDWerder Bremen Bundesliga2364
- 19 SepWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2361
SV Elversberg
6th in Bundesliga · 10 pts from 6
- 17 OctWFC Augsburg Bundesliga1910
- 10 OctLUnion Berlin Bundesliga1922
- 20 SepDFC Schalke 04 Bundesliga1907
- 13 SepLBayern München Bundesliga1931
- 5 SepWBorussia Mönchengladbach Bundesliga1914
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 14 /6 | 64.4 | 3% | 86% | 0% | 2nd |
| SV Elversberg | 10 /6 | 37.6 | 0% | <1% | 23% | 14th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: dribble-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Borussia Dortmund: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Niko Kovač plays) · SV Elversberg: balanced profile (how Vincent Wagner plays)