Bundesliga · Regular Season - 7
Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 16:30 UTC · Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund host Eintracht Frankfurt on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Bundesliga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Borussia Dortmund 56%, draw 25%, Eintracht Frankfurt 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Borussia Dortmund €35.7M, Eintracht Frankfurt €12.8M.
- Bundesliga: G. Kobel is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2470).
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Borussia Dortmund goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.9 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 4.2 pts
Team Elo: Borussia Dortmund 2258 · Eintracht Frankfurt 2060
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Borussia Dortmund · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 2394
Eintracht Frankfurt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 2275
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Borussia Dortmund
2nd in Bundesliga · 14 pts from 6
- 17 OctDUnion Berlin Bundesliga2361
- 14 OctLBodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League2272
- 9 OctDWerder Bremen Bundesliga2364
- 19 SepWVfB Stuttgart Bundesliga2361
- 12 SepWSC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga2306
Eintracht Frankfurt
11th in Bundesliga · 8 pts from 6
- 16 OctW1. FC Köln Bundesliga2090
- 10 OctLRB Leipzig Bundesliga2126
- 19 SepDSC Freiburg Bundesliga2072
- 12 SepWFSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga2027
- 6 SepLFC Augsburg Bundesliga2044
Season outlook
From the Bundesliga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 14 /6 | 63.8 | 3% | 83% | 0% | 2nd |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 /6 | 44.6 | 0% | 3% | 4% | 9th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 18th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Borussia Dortmund: dribble-heavy · possession-based (how Niko Kovač plays) · Eintracht Frankfurt: balanced profile (how Adi Hütter plays)