1. Lig · Regular Season - 12
Boluspor vs Vanspor FK
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Boluspor host Vanspor FK on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boluspor 25%, draw 27%, Vanspor FK 48%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boluspor €159K, Vanspor FK €274K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boluspor goals first.
- 1–113%
- 0–110%
- 1–29%
- 0–29%
- 0–08%
- 2–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Boluspor 1348 · Vanspor FK 1597
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boluspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1685
Vanspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.1 (Average) · Elo 1618
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boluspor
20th in 1. Lig · 1 pts from 10
- 18 OctLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1291
- 10 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1382
- 19 SepLSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1293
- 12 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1294
- 5 SepLBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1324
Vanspor FK
18th in 1. Lig · 7 pts from 11
- 18 OctLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1581
- 13 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1568
- 9 OctLBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1613
- 20 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1540
- 12 SepDKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1542
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 1 /10 | 20.6 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
| Vanspor FK | 7 /11 | 40.9 | 0% | <1% | 33% | 18th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boluspor: balanced profile (how Daniel Farrar plays) · Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Mustafa Gürsel plays)