1. Lig · Regular Season - 14
Boluspor vs Bodrum FK
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Boluspor host Bodrum FK on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boluspor 18%, draw 24%, Bodrum FK 59%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boluspor €145K, Bodrum FK €482K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of 1. Lig matchday 14: 380 points.
- 1. Lig: Diogo Sousa is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1936).
- Style contrast in possession (1. Lig): Boluspor rank #4 of 20, Bodrum FK #18.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boluspor goals first.
- 1–111%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–37%
- 0–06%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Boluspor 1345 · Bodrum FK 1725
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boluspor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.5 (Average) · Elo 1669
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1850
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boluspor
20th in 1. Lig · 1 pts from 11
- 23 OctLVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1306
- 18 OctLIğdır FK Turkey 1 Lig1291
- 10 OctLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1382
- 19 SepLSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1293
- 12 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1294
Bodrum FK
11th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1716
- 13 OctWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1667
- 9 OctLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1694
- 20 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1608
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boluspor | 1 /11 | 19.7 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 20th |
| Bodrum FK | 14 /11 | 55.9 | <1% | 17% | 1% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: –
Coach DNA: low-block
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boluspor: balanced profile (how Daniel Farrar plays) · Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays)