Championship · Regular Season - 17
Bolton vs West Brom
Wed 25 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Bolton host West Brom on Wed 25 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bolton 32%, draw 29%, West Brom 39%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bolton €913K, West Brom €3.3M.
- West Brom are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bolton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 0–08%
- 2–17%
- Other scores46%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com1–2expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl0–1expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Bolton 1889 · West Brom 2019
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bolton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1883
West Brom · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.9 (Good) · Elo 2098
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bolton
18th in Championship · 17 pts from 15
- 6 NovLDerby England Championship1900
- 3 NovWCharlton England Championship1887
- 31 OctLBristol City England Championship1924
- 23 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship1907
- 17 OctDSouthampton England Championship1927
West Brom
5th in Championship · 28 pts from 15
- 7 NovWMillwall England Championship2022
- 3 NovDSouthampton England Championship2035
- 31 OctWWest Ham England Championship1986
- 24 OctDPreston England Championship1958
- 17 OctWBlackburn England Championship1919
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 17 /15 | 52.9 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 19th |
| West Brom | 28 /15 | 73.4 | 5% | 28% | 0% | 6th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bolton: possession-based · creative (how Steven Schumacher plays) · West Brom: balanced profile (how James Morrison plays)