Championship · Regular Season - 16
Bolton vs Portsmouth
Sat 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Bolton host Portsmouth on Sat 21 Nov 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bolton 40%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 31%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bolton €992K, Portsmouth €1.9M.
- Home advantage makes Bolton the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in dribbling (Championship): Bolton rank #4 of 24, Portsmouth #24.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bolton goals first.
- 1–114%
- 1–09%
- 2–19%
- 0–17%
- 0–07%
- 1–27%
- Other scores47%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.7 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.3 pts
Team Elo: Bolton 1892 · Portsmouth 1908
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bolton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Average) · Elo 1883
Portsmouth · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.3 (Good) · Elo 2081
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bolton
18th in Championship · 17 pts from 15
- 6 NovLDerby England Championship1900
- 3 NovWCharlton England Championship1887
- 31 OctLBristol City England Championship1924
- 23 OctLMiddlesbrough England Championship1907
- 17 OctDSouthampton England Championship1927
Portsmouth
11th in Championship · 22 pts from 15
- 7 NovLStoke City England Championship1952
- 3 NovWSwansea England Championship1896
- 31 OctDBurnley England Championship1884
- 24 OctWMillwall England Championship1867
- 20 OctDWolves England Championship1859
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 17 /15 | 53.1 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 21st |
| Portsmouth | 22 /15 | 59.1 | 0% | 1% | 3% | 15th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bolton: possession-based · creative (how Steven Schumacher plays) · Portsmouth: balanced profile (how J. Mousinho plays)