Championship · Regular Season - 13
Bolton vs Bristol City
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Bolton host Bristol City on Sat 31 Oct 2026 (Championship); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bolton 46%, draw 28%, Bristol City 26%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bolton €1.3M, Bristol City €2.2M.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bolton goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 2–08%
- 0–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Best pick for your pool
The score with the most expected points under each pool's scoring, from the provisional chances.
superbru.com2–1expected 0.8 pts
voetbalpoules.nl1–0expected 3.7 pts
Team Elo: Bolton 1928 · Bristol City 1869
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bolton · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1987
Bristol City · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.5 (Good) · Elo 1744
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bolton
15th in Championship · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctDSouthampton England Championship1936
- 13 OctWWolves England Championship1905
- 10 OctLStoke City England Championship1912
- 20 SepWNorwich England Championship1870
- 12 SepWCardiff England Championship1850
Bristol City
16th in Championship · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctLSheffield Utd England Championship1864
- 13 OctLBlackburn England Championship1862
- 10 OctDCharlton England Championship1887
- 18 SepWWatford England Championship1859
- 15 SepLLincoln England Championship1858
Season outlook
From the Championship simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 14 /11 | 58.8 | 0% | 1% | 7% | 15th |
| Bristol City | 14 /11 | 52.6 | 0% | <1% | 26% | 22nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 24th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: creative
Coach DNA: direct
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bolton: possession-based · creative (how Steven Schumacher plays) · Bristol City: balanced profile (how Michael Skubala plays)