Primera División · Apertura - 25
Bolívar vs The Strongest
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:15 UTC · Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
Bolívar host The Strongest on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bolívar 58%, draw 24%, The Strongest 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bolívar €527K, The Strongest €284K.
- Primera División: X. Arreaga is the highest-rated defender (1812).
- Bolívar's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.1 over 180 days.
- Bolívar have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bolívar goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–06%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bolívar 1744 · The Strongest 1548
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bolívar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1795
The Strongest · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1622
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bolívar
1st in Primera División · 51 pts from 22
- 18 OctWNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1732
- 11 OctWBlooming Bolivia Primera Division1720
- 18 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1722
- 14 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1716
- 6 SepWIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1704
The Strongest
3rd in Primera División · 45 pts from 22
- 18 OctWAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1538
- 11 OctLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1542
- 15 SepWABB Bolivia Primera Division1567
- 12 SepWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1551
- 6 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1520
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 51 /22 | 63.0 | 75% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| The Strongest | 45 /22 | 54.4 | 1% | 100% | 0% | 3rd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: creative · shot-heavy
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bolívar: possession-based · creative (how A. Restrepo plays) · The Strongest: balanced profile (how Antônio Carlos Zago plays)