Primera División · Apertura - 21
Bolívar 1–0 Blooming
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz
BolívarTeam 1730BloomingTeam 1391- Dairon Asprilla 10'
We gave Bolívar 69% to win: they did.
- Dairon Asprilla – assist Robson Matheus –10'Bolívar:Dairon Asprilla – assist Robson Matheus –
- 47'Richard Spenhay –Blooming:Richard Spenhay –
- José Sagredo –57'Bolívar:José Sagredo –
- 62'Miguel Angel Villarroel Tardio – for Moisés Villarroel –Blooming:Miguel Angel Villarroel Tardio – for Moisés Villarroel –
- dorny romero – for Martín Cauteruccio –66'Bolívar:dorny romero – for Martín Cauteruccio –
- dorny romero –68'Bolívar:dorny romero –
- 70'Guilmar Centella Bazan –Blooming:Guilmar Centella Bazan –
- 73'Julio Demian Vila –Blooming:Julio Demian Vila –
- 76'Roberto Carlos Melgar Simoes – for Guilmar Centella Bazan –Blooming:Roberto Carlos Melgar Simoes – for Guilmar Centella Bazan –
- 84'Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga – for Federico Ramos –Blooming:Gerardo Cuasace Osinaga – for Federico Ramos –
- 84'Auli Oliveros – for Roberto Hinojosa –Blooming:Auli Oliveros – for Roberto Hinojosa –
- anderson ayhuana – for Ervin vaca –85'Bolívar:anderson ayhuana – for Ervin vaca –
- Carlos Melgar – for Robson Matheus –85'Bolívar:Carlos Melgar – for Robson Matheus –
- Leonel Justiniano –86'Bolívar:Leonel Justiniano –
- Jesus Manuel Sagredo – for Jhon velasquez –90+3'Bolívar:Jesus Manuel Sagredo – for Jhon velasquez –
Before kick-off (provisional): 69% · 19% · 12%(Bolívar · draw · Blooming)
Our most likely score was 2–0 (11%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bolívar €412K, Blooming €174K.
- Draw chance was 19%, below the Primera División average of 27% this round.
- Primera División: X. Arreaga was the highest-rated defender (1801).
- Style contrast in attacking (Primera División): Bolívar ranked #1 of 16, Blooming #15.
- Bolívar's expected eleven was in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 over 180 days.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bolívar
2nd in Primera División · 45 pts from 20
- 18 SepWGualberto Villarroel SJ Bolivia Primera Division1722
- 14 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1716
- 6 SepWIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1704
- 28 AugWABB Bolivia Primera Division1697
- 23 AugWReal Oruro Bolivia Primera Division1704
Blooming
8th in Primera División · 27 pts from 20
- 17 SepDUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1344
- 12 SepWABB Bolivia Primera Division1332
- 7 SepLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1328
- 23 AugDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1392
- 15 AugWAurora Bolivia Primera Division1399
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolívar | 45 /20 | 49.1 | 53% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Blooming | 27 /20 | 29.2 | 0% | <1% | 0% | 8th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bolívar · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.8 (Elite) · Elo 1794
Blooming · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.9 (Good) · Elo 1372
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bolívar: possession-based · creative (how Alejandro Restrepo Mazo plays) · Blooming: balanced profile (how Erwin Sánchez Freking plays)