NewPlayerElo now rates women's footballExplore →
← All matches

Premier Division · Regular Season - 34

Bohemians 2–1 Waterford

Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Dalymount Park, Dublin

Bohemians crestBohemiansTeam 1531
2–1
Full time
HT 1–1
Waterford crestWaterfordTeam 1481

Match story

Bohemians · draw · Waterford

Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%

Live chances: Bohemians 98%, draw 2%, Waterford 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Bohemians 46%, draw 27%, Waterford 27%2' · 0–0 · Bohemians 46%, draw 27%, Waterford 27%3' · 0–0 · Bohemians 46%, draw 27%, Waterford 27%4' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%5' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%6' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%7' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%8' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%9' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%10' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Waterford 27%11' · 0–0 · Bohemians 45%, draw 29%, Waterford 27%12' · 0–0 · Bohemians 44%, draw 29%, Waterford 27%13' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 10%14' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%15' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%16' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%17' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%18' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%19' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%20' · 1–0 · Bohemians 72%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%21' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 18%, Waterford 9%22' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%23' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%24' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%25' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%26' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%27' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 9%28' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%29' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%30' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%31' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%32' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%33' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%34' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%35' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%36' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%37' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%38' · 1–0 · Bohemians 73%, draw 19%, Waterford 8%39' · 1–1 · Bohemians 39%, draw 35%, Waterford 26%40' · 1–1 · Bohemians 39%, draw 35%, Waterford 26%41' · 1–1 · Bohemians 39%, draw 36%, Waterford 26%42' · 1–1 · Bohemians 39%, draw 36%, Waterford 25%43' · 1–1 · Bohemians 38%, draw 36%, Waterford 25%44' · 1–1 · Bohemians 38%, draw 37%, Waterford 25%45' · 1–1 · Bohemians 38%, draw 37%, Waterford 25%HT · 1–1 · Bohemians 37%, draw 38%, Waterford 25%47' · 1–1 · Bohemians 36%, draw 39%, Waterford 25%48' · 1–1 · Bohemians 36%, draw 39%, Waterford 25%49' · 1–1 · Bohemians 36%, draw 40%, Waterford 24%50' · 1–1 · Bohemians 35%, draw 40%, Waterford 24%51' · 1–1 · Bohemians 35%, draw 41%, Waterford 24%52' · 1–1 · Bohemians 35%, draw 41%, Waterford 24%53' · 1–1 · Bohemians 34%, draw 42%, Waterford 24%54' · 1–1 · Bohemians 34%, draw 43%, Waterford 24%56' · 1–1 · Bohemians 33%, draw 44%, Waterford 23%57' · 1–1 · Bohemians 33%, draw 45%, Waterford 23%58' · 1–1 · Bohemians 32%, draw 45%, Waterford 23%60' · 1–1 · Bohemians 31%, draw 47%, Waterford 22%61' · 1–1 · Bohemians 31%, draw 47%, Waterford 22%62' · 1–1 · Bohemians 30%, draw 48%, Waterford 22%63' · 1–1 · Bohemians 30%, draw 49%, Waterford 21%64' · 2–1 · Bohemians 78%, draw 18%, Waterford 4%65' · 2–1 · Bohemians 79%, draw 18%, Waterford 4%66' · 2–1 · Bohemians 79%, draw 17%, Waterford 3%67' · 2–1 · Bohemians 79%, draw 17%, Waterford 3%68' · 2–1 · Bohemians 80%, draw 17%, Waterford 3%69' · 2–1 · Bohemians 80%, draw 17%, Waterford 3%70' · 2–1 · Bohemians 80%, draw 17%, Waterford 3%71' · 2–1 · Bohemians 81%, draw 16%, Waterford 3%72' · 2–1 · Bohemians 81%, draw 16%, Waterford 3%73' · 2–1 · Bohemians 82%, draw 16%, Waterford 2%74' · 2–1 · Bohemians 82%, draw 16%, Waterford 2%75' · 2–1 · Bohemians 82%, draw 15%, Waterford 2%76' · 2–1 · Bohemians 83%, draw 15%, Waterford 2%77' · 2–1 · Bohemians 83%, draw 15%, Waterford 2%78' · 2–1 · Bohemians 84%, draw 14%, Waterford 2%79' · 2–1 · Bohemians 85%, draw 14%, Waterford 2%80' · 2–1 · Bohemians 85%, draw 13%, Waterford 1%81' · 2–1 · Bohemians 86%, draw 13%, Waterford 1%82' · 2–1 · Bohemians 86%, draw 12%, Waterford 1%83' · 2–1 · Bohemians 87%, draw 12%, Waterford 1%84' · 2–1 · Bohemians 88%, draw 11%, Waterford 1%85' · 2–1 · Bohemians 88%, draw 11%, Waterford 1%86' · 2–1 · Bohemians 89%, draw 10%, Waterford 1%87' · 2–1 · Bohemians 90%, draw 10%, Waterford 1%88' · 2–1 · Bohemians 91%, draw 9%, Waterford 1%89' · 2–1 · Bohemians 91%, draw 8%, Waterford 0%90' · 2–1 · Bohemians 92%, draw 7%, Waterford 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Bohemians 93%, draw 6%, Waterford 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Bohemians 94%, draw 5%, Waterford 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Bohemians 97%, draw 3%, Waterford 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Bohemians 98%, draw 2%, Waterford 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bohemians 46% to win: they did.

  1. 12'Bohemians:Sam Todd 1563 +33 assist Jordan Flores 1601 +25
  2. 38'Waterford:Padraig Amond 1306 −20* assist Bernardo Piexoto Couto 1520 −14*
  3. 48'Bohemians:cian byrne 1609 +9
  4. 49'Waterford:Tom Lonergan 1528 −14* (penalty missed)
  5. 64'Bohemians:Ryan Burke 1464 +44 assist Sadou Diallo 1565 +26
  6. 74'Bohemians:Niall Morahan 1523 +2 for Sadou Diallo 1565 +26
  7. 74'Bohemians:Colm Whelan 1541 +2 for James Taylor 1591 +8
  8. 74'Bohemians:Markuss Strods 1289 +5 for Harry Patrick Vaughan 1500 +36
  9. 75'Bohemians:Niall Morahan 1523 +2
  10. 78'Bohemians:Patrick Hickey 1580 +1 for Ryan Burke 1464 +44
  11. 79'Waterford:Jørgen Voilås 1306 −8* for Noah Mawene 1485 −11*
  12. 79'Waterford:Evan McLaughlin 1460 −8* for Luke Heeney 1406 −8*
  13. 86'Waterford:Dean Mcmenamy 1460 −8* for Jordan Houston 1481 −11*
  14. 90+3'Bohemians:Dayle Rooney 1514 −1 for Connor Parsons 1588 +10

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations3-4-1-2
GP. Walters1616+9
DD. Power1609+9
DC. Byrne1609+9
DS. Todd1563+33
DR. Burke1464+44
MS. Diallo1565+26
MJ. Flores1601+25
MR. Tierney1640+8
MH. Vaughan1500+36
MC. Parsons1588+10
FD. James-Taylor1591+8
CA. Reynolds1620+17
GS. McMullan1542−15*
DH. Cann1559−17*
DJ. Mahon1554−17*
DK. Long1556−25*
MJ. Houston1481−11*
ML. Heeney1406−8*
MN. Mawene1485−11*
MBenny Couto1520−14*
MC. Noonan1504−13*
FP. Amond1306−20*
FT. Lonergan1528−14*
CG. Coughlan1522−20*
Before kick-off: 46% · 27% · 27%(Bohemians · draw · Waterford)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 2–1 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bohemians €225K, Waterford €168K.
  • Style contrast in attacking (Premier Division): Bohemians ranked #2 of 11, Waterford #10.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bohemians

3rd in Premier Division · 59 pts from 33

  • 12 OctLShamrock Rovers 1579
  • 2 OctWDundalk 1573
  • 18 SepWDrogheda United 1557
  • 11 SepWGalway United 1556
  • 28 AugWSligo Rovers 1534

Waterford

8th in Premier Division · 34 pts from 32

  • 18 SepLShamrock Rovers 1502
  • 14 SepDDerry City 1502
  • 11 SepDDundalk 1513
  • 28 AugWSt Patrick's Athl. 1452
  • 21 AugDSligo Rovers 1492

Season outlook

From the Premier Division simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bohemians59 /3363.41%100%0%3rd
Waterford34 /3239.40%<1%73%8th
Bohemians
Waterford

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Premier Division

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Tierney
R. Tierney

Bohemians · +2.7 (Good) · Elo 1633

K. Long
K. Long

Waterford · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1581

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Alan Reynolds

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Graham Coughlan

Coach DNA: direct

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bohemians: balanced profile (how Alan Reynolds plays) · Waterford: balanced profile (how Graham Coughlan plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.