Premier Division · Regular Season - 35
Bohemians vs Shelbourne
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC · Dalymount Park, Dublin
Bohemians host Shelbourne on Fri 23 Oct 2026 (Premier Division); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bohemians 45%, draw 28%, Shelbourne 27%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bohemians €272K, Shelbourne €270K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bohemians goals first.
- 1–113%
- 1–010%
- 2–19%
- 0–08%
- 2–08%
- 1–27%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bohemians 1581 · Shelbourne 1536
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bohemians · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 1638
Shelbourne · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1608
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bohemians
2nd in Premier Division · 62 pts from 34
- 16 OctWWaterford Irish Premier Division1558
- 12 OctLShamrock Rovers Irish Premier Division1579
- 2 OctWDundalk Irish Premier Division1573
- 18 SepWDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1557
- 11 SepWGalway United Irish Premier Division1556
Shelbourne
4th in Premier Division · 46 pts from 34
- 16 OctWSt Patrick's Athl. Irish Premier Division1510
- 9 OctWSligo Rovers Irish Premier Division1499
- 25 SepDGalway United Irish Premier Division1475
- 18 SepWDundalk Irish Premier Division1475
- 14 SepLDrogheda United Irish Premier Division1472
Season outlook
From the Premier Division simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians | 62 /34 | 64.8 | 9% | 100% | 0% | 2nd |
| Shelbourne | 46 /34 | 48.7 | 0% | 72% | 0% | 4th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 10th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bohemians: balanced profile (how Alan Reynolds plays) · Shelbourne: possession-based (how John Russell plays)