Czech Liga · Regular Season - 13
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC · Dolicek, Prague
Bohemians 1905 host Sparta Praha on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Czech Liga); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bohemians 1905 19%, draw 25%, Sparta Praha 57%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bohemians 1905 €435K, Sparta Praha €1.9M.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Czech Liga matchday 13: 336 points.
- Style contrast in possession (Czech Liga): Bohemians 1905 rank #13 of 16, Sparta Praha #1.
- Sparta Praha are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bohemians 1905 goals first.
- 1–112%
- 0–210%
- 1–210%
- 0–110%
- 0–07%
- 0–36%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bohemians 1905 1585 · Sparta Praha 1921
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bohemians 1905 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1736
Sparta Praha · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.3 (Elite) · Elo 1917
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bohemians 1905
10th in Czech Liga · 15 pts from 10
- 14 OctWMlada Boleslav Czech Liga1620
- 10 OctWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1596
- 19 SepLPardubice Czech Liga1617
- 12 SepWSlovácko Czech Liga1611
- 5 SepLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1607
Sparta Praha
6th in Czech Liga · 19 pts from 11
- 18 OctDBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1903
- 15 OctDLillestrom UEFA Europa League1803
- 11 OctWPardubice Czech Liga1879
- 20 SepWSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1865
- 16 SepWArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League1871
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 15 /10 | 36.7 | 0% | 1% | 10% | 11th |
| Sparta Praha | 19 /11 | 56.6 | 14% | 91% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bohemians 1905: balanced profile (how Jaroslav Veselý plays) · Sparta Praha: possession-based (how Brian Priske Pedersen plays)