Czech Liga · Regular Season - 6
Bohemians 1905 1–0 Mlada Boleslav
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Dolicek Stadium, Prague
Bohemians 1905Team 1555
Mlada BoleslavTeam 1625Match story
Bohemians 1905 · draw · Mlada BoleslavBefore kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%
Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%
Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.
- Aleš Čermák 13'
We gave Bohemians 1905 36% to win: they did.
- 11'Jan Zíka 1595 0
Mlada Boleslav:Jan Zíka 1595 0 - Aleš Čermák 1689 +3113'
Bohemians 1905:Aleš Čermák 1689 +31 - 27'Aleš Majer
Mlada Boleslav:Aleš Majer - Vojtech Smrz 1678 +2038'
Bohemians 1905:Vojtech Smrz 1678 +20 - 45'Josef Kolarik 1517 0 for Solomon John 1737 −5
Mlada Boleslav:Josef Kolarik 1517 0 for Solomon John 1737 −5 - Ladislav Krobot 1358 +2047'
Bohemians 1905:Ladislav Krobot 1358 +20 - Václav Pilař 1336 +23 for Ladislav Krobot 1358 +2056'
Bohemians 1905:Václav Pilař 1336 +23 for Ladislav Krobot 1358 +20 - Šimon Černý 1118 +50 for Roman Kvet 1736 +1556'
Bohemians 1905:Šimon Černý 1118 +50 for Roman Kvet 1736 +15 - 56'David Kozel 1683 −2 for Filip Spatenka 1267 0
Mlada Boleslav:David Kozel 1683 −2 for Filip Spatenka 1267 0 - Tomas Fruhwald 1745 +2760'
Bohemians 1905:Tomas Fruhwald 1745 +27 - 60'Jiří Klíma 1530 −2
Mlada Boleslav:Jiří Klíma 1530 −2 - 71'Martin Šubert 1695 −6
Mlada Boleslav:Martin Šubert 1695 −6 - 73'Marek Havran 1340 0 for Daniel Langhamer 1698 −5
Mlada Boleslav:Marek Havran 1340 0 for Daniel Langhamer 1698 −5 - Denis Vala 992 +11 for Ladislav Almási 1585 +1682'
Bohemians 1905:Denis Vala 992 +11 for Ladislav Almási 1585 +16 - Samuel Obinaya for Vojtech Smrz 1678 +2082'
Bohemians 1905:Samuel Obinaya for Vojtech Smrz 1678 +20 - 82'Jan Buryan 1318 0 for Ondrej Karafiat 1770 −15
Mlada Boleslav:Jan Buryan 1318 0 for Ondrej Karafiat 1770 −15 - Samuel Obinaya86'
Bohemians 1905:Samuel Obinaya - Aleš Čermák 1689 +3190+1'
Bohemians 1905:Aleš Čermák 1689 +31 - David Heidenreich 1383 0 for Aleš Čermák 1689 +3190+2'
Bohemians 1905:David Heidenreich 1383 0 for Aleš Čermák 1689 +31 - David Lischka 1745 +890+4'
Bohemians 1905:David Lischka 1745 +8
Line-ups
Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.
Before kick-off: 36% · 29% · 35%(Bohemians 1905 · draw · Mlada Boleslav)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 8%.
- Average value of the starting XI: Bohemians 1905 €436K, Mlada Boleslav €452K.
- Home advantage made Bohemians 1905 the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
- Style contrast in pressing & duels (Czech Liga): Bohemians 1905 ranked #4 of 16, Mlada Boleslav #16.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bohemians 1905
11th in Czech Liga · 12 pts from 9
- 10 OctWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1596
- 19 SepLPardubice Czech Liga1617
- 12 SepWSlovácko Czech Liga1611
- 5 SepLSigma Olomouc Czech Liga1607
- 2 SepDFK Jablonec Czech Liga1642
Mlada Boleslav
4th in Czech Liga · 17 pts from 9
- 10 OctLPlzen Czech Liga1696
- 19 SepWZbrojovka Brno Czech Liga1628
- 12 SepLSlovan Liberec Czech Liga1675
- 6 SepWBaník Ostrava Czech Liga1617
- 22 AugWSlovácko Czech Liga1638
Season outlook
From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bohemians 1905 | 12 /9 | 36.0 | 0% | 1% | 16% | 12th |
| Mlada Boleslav | 17 /9 | 44.1 | <1% | 17% | 1% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

Bohemians 1905 · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1721

Mlada Boleslav · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Good) · Elo 1785
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bohemians 1905: balanced profile (how Jaroslav Veselý plays) · Mlada Boleslav: balanced profile (how Aleš Majer plays)
* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.