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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 10

Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník Ostrava

Sat 10 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Dolicek Stadium, Prague

Bohemians 1905 crestBohemians 1905Team 1523
1–0
Full time
HT 1–0
Baník Ostrava crestBaník OstravaTeam 1534

Match story

Bohemians 1905 · draw · Baník Ostrava

Before kick-off: 40% · 29% · 31%

Live chances: Bohemians 1905 96%, draw 4%, Baník Ostrava 0% at 90+3'1' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 31%2' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 31%3' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 31%5' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 31%6' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 29%, Baník Ostrava 31%7' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 31%8' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 31%9' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 40%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 31%10' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 30%11' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 30%12' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 30%, Baník Ostrava 30%13' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 31%, Baník Ostrava 30%15' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 31%, Baník Ostrava 30%16' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 31%, Baník Ostrava 30%17' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 39%, draw 31%, Baník Ostrava 30%19' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 32%, Baník Ostrava 30%20' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 32%, Baník Ostrava 30%21' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 32%, Baník Ostrava 30%23' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 32%, Baník Ostrava 30%24' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 33%, Baník Ostrava 30%25' · 0–0 · Bohemians 1905 38%, draw 33%, Baník Ostrava 30%27' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 69%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 10%28' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 10%30' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 10%32' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%33' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%34' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%35' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%36' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%37' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 70%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%38' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 9%39' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%40' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%41' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%42' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%43' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%44' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 71%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%45' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 72%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 8%HT · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 72%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%46' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 72%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%47' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 72%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%48' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 72%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%49' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 73%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%50' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 73%, draw 21%, Baník Ostrava 7%51' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 73%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%52' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 73%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%53' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 74%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%54' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 74%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%55' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 74%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%56' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 74%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 6%57' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 75%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 5%58' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 75%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 5%59' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 75%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 5%60' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 76%, draw 20%, Baník Ostrava 5%61' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 76%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava 5%62' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 76%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava 4%64' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 77%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava 4%65' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 77%, draw 19%, Baník Ostrava 4%66' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 78%, draw 18%, Baník Ostrava 4%67' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 78%, draw 18%, Baník Ostrava 4%68' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 78%, draw 18%, Baník Ostrava 3%69' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 79%, draw 18%, Baník Ostrava 3%70' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 79%, draw 18%, Baník Ostrava 3%71' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 80%, draw 17%, Baník Ostrava 3%72' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 80%, draw 17%, Baník Ostrava 3%73' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 81%, draw 17%, Baník Ostrava 3%74' · 2–0 · Bohemians 1905 98%, draw 2%, Baník Ostrava 0%75' · 2–0 · Bohemians 1905 98%, draw 2%, Baník Ostrava 0%76' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 82%, draw 16%, Baník Ostrava 2%77' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 83%, draw 15%, Baník Ostrava 2%78' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 83%, draw 15%, Baník Ostrava 2%79' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 84%, draw 14%, Baník Ostrava 2%80' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 84%, draw 14%, Baník Ostrava 2%81' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 85%, draw 14%, Baník Ostrava 1%82' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 86%, draw 13%, Baník Ostrava 1%83' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 86%, draw 12%, Baník Ostrava 1%84' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 87%, draw 12%, Baník Ostrava 1%86' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 89%, draw 11%, Baník Ostrava 1%88' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 90%, draw 9%, Baník Ostrava 1%89' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 91%, draw 8%, Baník Ostrava 0%90' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 92%, draw 7%, Baník Ostrava 0%90+1' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 93%, draw 7%, Baník Ostrava 0%90+3' · 1–0 · Bohemians 1905 96%, draw 4%, Baník Ostrava 0%

Last reading, 90+3': 96% · 4% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bohemians 1905 40% to win: they did.

  1. 26'Bohemians 1905:A. Cermak 1658 +18* assist V. Smrz 1658 +13*
  2. 46'Baník Ostrava:D. Gilbert 1455 0 for F. Sancl 1217 −8*
  3. 60'Baník Ostrava:A. Musak 1557 −8* for D. Planka 1564 −8*
  4. 69'Bohemians 1905:V. Pilar 1314 −12* for L. Krobot 1337 +12*
  5. 69'Bohemians 1905:S. Obinaya – for V. Smrz 1658 +13*
  6. 74'Baník Ostrava:A. Traore 1542 −8* for J. Boula 1720 −13*
  7. 74'Baník Ostrava:M. Kohut 1727 −9* for V. Jurecka 1723 −16*
  8. 79'Bohemians 1905:S. Cerny – for R. Kvet 1721 +10*
  9. 83'Baník Ostrava:M. Kmet 1630 −8* for D. Holzer 1615 −11*
  10. 90+3'Bohemians 1905:D. Vala 981 −7* for A. Cermak 1658 +18*
  11. 90+3'Bohemians 1905:D. Heidenreich 1383 −7* for L. Almasi 1569 +32*

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

3-4-1-2Formations3-4-2-1
GMartin Jedlička1765−32*
DMichal Frydrych1463−16*
DRoan Nogha1457−8*
DJiri Micek1517−8*
MAbdullahi Bewene1539−8*
MFilip Šancl1217−8*
MJiří Boula1720−13*
MDaniel Holzer1615−11*
FDavid Planka1564−8*
FVáclav Jurečka1723−16*
FVit Skrkon1397−8*
CRoman Skuhravý1640
Before kick-off: 40% · 29% · 31%(Bohemians 1905 · draw · Baník Ostrava)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (14%); the result 1–0 had 9%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bohemians 1905 €416K, Baník Ostrava €435K.
  • Home advantage made Bohemians 1905 the favourite: it added 6 points to their win chance.
  • Style contrast in discipline (Czech Liga): Bohemians 1905 ranked #13 of 16, Baník Ostrava #1.
  • Baník Ostrava's expected eleven was out of form: average -1.9 over 180 days.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bohemians 1905

12th in Czech Liga · 9 pts from 8

  • 19 SepLPardubice 1617
  • 12 SepWSlovácko 1611
  • 5 SepLSigma Olomouc 1607
  • 2 SepDFK Jablonec 1642
  • 22 AugDSlavia Praha 1640

Baník Ostrava

11th in Czech Liga · 10 pts from 9

  • 19 SepDSlovácko 1565
  • 13 SepLPardubice 1598
  • 9 SepLFK Jablonec 1632
  • 6 SepLMlada Boleslav 1614
  • 29 AugWSigma Olomouc 1632

Season outlook

From the Czech Liga simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bohemians 19059 /835.00%1%12%13th
Baník Ostrava10 /937.30%1%6%12th
Bohemians 1905
Baník Ostrava

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: Czech Liga

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

R. Květ
R. Květ

Bohemians 1905 · +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1710

M. Frydrych
M. Frydrych

Baník Ostrava · +2.3 (Elite) · Elo 1479

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Jaroslav Veselý

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Roman Skuhravý

Coach DNA: balanced profile

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bohemians 1905: balanced profile (how Jaroslav Veselý plays) · Baník Ostrava: creative · possession-based (how Roman Skuhravý plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.