1. Lig · Regular Season - 15
Bodrum FK vs Vanspor FK
Mon 23 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Bodrum FK host Vanspor FK on Mon 23 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bodrum FK 53%, draw 26%, Vanspor FK 21%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bodrum FK €577K, Vanspor FK €305K.
- Bodrum FK are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bodrum FK goals first.
- 1–112%
- 1–012%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 0–08%
- 0–16%
- Other scores42%
Team Elo: Bodrum FK 1754 · Vanspor FK 1634
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +0.7 (Average) · Elo 1791
Vanspor FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Average) · Elo 1675
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodrum FK
7th in 1. Lig · 21 pts from 14
- 8 NovWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1751
- 1 NovDÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1794
- 25 OctWAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1737
- 17 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1703
- 13 OctWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1655
Vanspor FK
14th in 1. Lig · 16 pts from 14
- 7 NovWSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1609
- 31 OctWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1578
- 23 OctWBoluspor Turkey 1 Lig1583
- 18 OctLÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1569
- 13 OctWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1556
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK | 21 /14 | 59.3 | 1% | 29% | 0% | 5th |
| Vanspor FK | 16 /14 | 46.7 | 0% | 1% | 8% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays) · Vanspor FK: balanced profile (how Mustafa Gürsel plays)