1. Lig · Regular Season - 13
Bodrum FK vs Ümraniyespor
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Bodrum FK host Ümraniyespor on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (1. Lig); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bodrum FK 56%, draw 25%, Ümraniyespor 19%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bodrum FK €549K, Ümraniyespor €238K.
- 1. Lig: Diogo Sousa is the highest-rated goalkeeper (1936).
- Style contrast in possession (1. Lig): Bodrum FK rank #18 of 20, Ümraniyespor #3.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bodrum FK goals first.
- 1–112%
- 2–110%
- 2–010%
- 1–010%
- 0–07%
- 3–16%
- Other scores45%
Team Elo: Bodrum FK 1720 · Ümraniyespor 1568
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.6 (Elite) · Elo 1850
Ümraniyespor · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.4 (Good) · Elo 1538
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodrum FK
10th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 11
- 17 OctWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1716
- 13 OctWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1667
- 9 OctLKeçiörengücü Turkey 1 Lig1694
- 20 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1608
Ümraniyespor
15th in 1. Lig · 10 pts from 10
- 18 OctWVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1534
- 9 OctDSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1518
- 18 SepWBandırmaspor Turkey 1 Lig1506
- 12 SepLAntalyaspor Turkey 1 Lig1510
- 5 SepLPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1561
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK | 14 /11 | 55.9 | <1% | 16% | <1% | 6th |
| Ümraniyespor | 10 /10 | 41.5 | 0% | <1% | 28% | 17th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays) · Ümraniyespor: balanced profile (how Tayfun Rıdvan Albayrak plays)