1. Lig · Regular Season - 9
Bodrum FK 0–2 Keçiörengücü
Fri 9 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum
Bodrum FKTeam 1663KeçiörengücüTeam 1585We gave Bodrum FK 50% to win: Keçiörengücü won.
Before kick-off (provisional): 50% · 27% · 23%(Bodrum FK · draw · Keçiörengücü)
Our most likely score was 1–1 (13%); the result 0–2 had 4%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bodrum FK €518K, Keçiörengücü €259K.
- Keçiörengücü were unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodrum FK
14th in 1. Lig · 8 pts from 8
- 20 SepDPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1671
- 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor Turkey 1 Lig1607
- 7 SepLMardin 1969 Turkey 1 Lig1642
- 3 SepDEsenler Erokspor Turkey 1 Lig1640
- 30 AugDManisa F.K. Turkey 1 Lig1662
Keçiörengücü
6th in 1. Lig · 13 pts from 8
- 19 SepDSivasspor Turkey 1 Lig1617
- 12 SepDVanspor FK Turkey 1 Lig1606
- 5 SepWSarıyer Turkey 1 Lig1575
- 28 AugDÜmraniyespor Turkey 1 Lig1603
- 16 AugWPendikspor Turkey 1 Lig1613
Season outlook
From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodrum FK | 8 /8 | 51.2 | <1% | 7% | 5% | 10th |
| Keçiörengücü | 13 /8 | 49.7 | <1% | 4% | 6% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bodrum FK · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.6 (Good) · Elo 1665
Keçiörengücü · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1619
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays) · Keçiörengücü: balanced profile (how Osman Zeki Korkmaz plays)