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1. Lig · Regular Season - 11

Bodrum FK 2–1 Bandırmaspor

Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC · Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum

Bodrum FK crestBodrum FKTeam 1691
2–1
Full time
HT 0–0
Bandırmaspor crestBandırmasporTeam 1603

Match story

Bodrum FK · draw · Bandırmaspor

Before kick-off: 52% · 25% · 23%

Live chances: Bodrum FK 98%, draw 2%, Bandırmaspor 0% at 90+5'1' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 52%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 23%2' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 23%3' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 24%5' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 24%6' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 25%, Bandırmaspor 24%7' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%8' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%9' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 51%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%10' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%11' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%12' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%13' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 24%14' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%15' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 50%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%16' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 49%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%17' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 49%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%18' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 49%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%19' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 49%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%20' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 49%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 24%21' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 24%22' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 24%23' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 24%24' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 24%25' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 24%26' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 48%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%27' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%28' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%29' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%30' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%31' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 47%, draw 29%, Bandırmaspor 24%32' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 46%, draw 30%, Bandırmaspor 24%33' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 46%, draw 30%, Bandırmaspor 24%34' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 46%, draw 30%, Bandırmaspor 24%35' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 46%, draw 30%, Bandırmaspor 24%36' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 45%, draw 31%, Bandırmaspor 24%37' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 45%, draw 31%, Bandırmaspor 24%38' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 45%, draw 31%, Bandırmaspor 24%39' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 45%, draw 31%, Bandırmaspor 24%40' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 44%, draw 32%, Bandırmaspor 24%41' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 44%, draw 32%, Bandırmaspor 24%42' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 44%, draw 32%, Bandırmaspor 24%43' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 44%, draw 33%, Bandırmaspor 24%45' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 43%, draw 33%, Bandırmaspor 24%45+1' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 43%, draw 34%, Bandırmaspor 24%45+2' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 43%, draw 34%, Bandırmaspor 24%HT · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 42%, draw 34%, Bandırmaspor 23%47' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 42%, draw 35%, Bandırmaspor 23%48' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 41%, draw 35%, Bandırmaspor 23%49' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 41%, draw 36%, Bandırmaspor 23%50' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 41%, draw 36%, Bandırmaspor 23%51' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 40%, draw 37%, Bandırmaspor 23%52' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 40%, draw 37%, Bandırmaspor 23%53' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 40%, draw 38%, Bandırmaspor 23%54' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 39%, draw 38%, Bandırmaspor 23%55' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 39%, draw 39%, Bandırmaspor 23%56' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 38%, draw 39%, Bandırmaspor 22%57' · 0–0 · Bodrum FK 38%, draw 40%, Bandırmaspor 22%58' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 15%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 56%59' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 15%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 57%60' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 14%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 58%61' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 14%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 58%62' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 13%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 59%63' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 13%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 59%64' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 12%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 60%65' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 12%, draw 28%, Bandırmaspor 61%66' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 11%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 61%67' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 11%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 62%68' · 0–1 · Bodrum FK 10%, draw 27%, Bandırmaspor 63%69' · 1–1 · Bodrum FK 32%, draw 49%, Bandırmaspor 20%70' · 1–1 · Bodrum FK 31%, draw 50%, Bandırmaspor 20%71' · 1–1 · Bodrum FK 30%, draw 50%, Bandırmaspor 19%72' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 80%, draw 17%, Bandırmaspor 3%73' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 81%, draw 16%, Bandırmaspor 3%74' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 81%, draw 16%, Bandırmaspor 3%75' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 81%, draw 16%, Bandırmaspor 3%76' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 82%, draw 16%, Bandırmaspor 2%77' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 82%, draw 15%, Bandırmaspor 2%78' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 83%, draw 15%, Bandırmaspor 2%79' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 83%, draw 15%, Bandırmaspor 2%80' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 84%, draw 14%, Bandırmaspor 2%81' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 84%, draw 14%, Bandırmaspor 2%82' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 85%, draw 13%, Bandırmaspor 2%83' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 86%, draw 13%, Bandırmaspor 1%84' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 86%, draw 12%, Bandırmaspor 1%85' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 87%, draw 12%, Bandırmaspor 1%86' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 88%, draw 11%, Bandırmaspor 1%87' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 89%, draw 11%, Bandırmaspor 1%88' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 89%, draw 10%, Bandırmaspor 1%89' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 90%, draw 9%, Bandırmaspor 1%90' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 91%, draw 8%, Bandırmaspor 0%90+1' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 92%, draw 7%, Bandırmaspor 0%90+2' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 94%, draw 6%, Bandırmaspor 0%90+3' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 95%, draw 5%, Bandırmaspor 0%90+4' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 96%, draw 4%, Bandırmaspor 0%90+5' · 2–1 · Bodrum FK 98%, draw 2%, Bandırmaspor 0%

Last reading, 90+5': 98% · 2% · 0%

Live chances from PlayerElo's pre-match model and the current score.

We gave Bodrum FK 52% to win: they did.

  1. 44'Bodrum FK:Arlind Ajeti 1918 +3
  2. 57'Bandırmaspor:Tosin Kehinde 1639 −10 assist Enes Aydın 1673 −14
  3. 64'Bodrum FK:Florian Loshaj 1671 +3 for Boran Baskan 1639 +14
  4. 64'Bodrum FK:Ruben Providence 1758 +11 for Berkay Aslan 1631 +14
  5. 68'Bodrum FK:Ege Bilsel 1799 +33 assist Ruben Providence 1758 +11
  6. 71'Bodrum FK:Vincent Aboubakar 1756 +32 assist Ruben Providence 1758 +11
  7. 73'Bandırmaspor:Gianni Bruno 1539 −7 for Dean Lico 1678 −5
  8. 73'Bandırmaspor:Remi Mulumba 1704 −7 for Recep Dilek 1699 −5
  9. 73'Bandırmaspor:Enes Cinemre 1516 0 for Emirhan Ayhan 1476 0
  10. 73'Bandırmaspor:Dame Bamba Seck 1414 0 for Muhammed Gümüşkaya 1723 −6
  11. 80'Bandırmaspor:Lucas Lima 1615 −9
  12. 83'Bandırmaspor:Muhammet Harun Genc 951 0 for Kerem Dönertaş 1537 0
  13. 87'Bodrum FK:E. Arslan 1491 +1 for Ege Bilsel 1799 +33
  14. 89'Bodrum FK:Vincent Aboubakar 1756 +32
  15. 90+1'Bodrum FK:Ismail Tarim – for Tomas Cruz 1571 +22
  16. 90+2'Bodrum FK:Mustafa Erdilman 1771 0 for Vincent Aboubakar 1756 +32
  17. 90+2'Bodrum FK:Yusuf Sertkaya 1776 +13
  18. 90+2'Bandırmaspor:Remi Mulumba 1704 −7

Line-ups

Elo change from this match, next to the Elo after it.

4-2-3-1Formations4-1-4-1
GA. Alkan1608−7
DA. Ülgen1712−7
DY. Kocatürk1648−11
DEnes Aydın1673−14
DLucas Lima1615−9
MD. Liço1678−5
MEmirhan Ayhan14760
MK. Donertas15370
MM. Gümüşkaya1723−6
MT. Kehinde1639−10
FRecep Yalın Dilek1699−5
CErtuğrul Arslan15490
Before kick-off: 52% · 25% · 23%(Bodrum FK · draw · Bandırmaspor)
HomeDrawAway

Our most likely score was 1–1 (12%); the result 2–1 had 10%.

  • Average value of the starting XI: Bodrum FK €472K, Bandırmaspor €307K.

Form

Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.

Bodrum FK

13th in 1. Lig · 11 pts from 10

  • 13 OctWSarıyer 1667
  • 9 OctLKeçiörengücü 1694
  • 20 SepDPendikspor 1671
  • 12 SepWBatman Petrolspor 1608
  • 7 SepLMardin 1969 1642

Bandırmaspor

9th in 1. Lig · 14 pts from 10

  • 13 OctDSivasspor 1613
  • 9 OctWVanspor FK 1570
  • 18 SepLÜmraniyespor 1645
  • 11 SepDSarıyer 1648
  • 5 SepWBoluspor 1622

Season outlook

From the 1. Lig simulation, before this match.

ClubPts nowPred. ptsTitleTop 4Bottom 3Most likely
Bodrum FK11 /1053.6<1%11%1%8th
Bandırmaspor14 /1049.8<1%4%4%12th
Bodrum FK
Bandırmaspor

Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 20th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.

Full table and finishing odds: 1. Lig

Players to watch

Highest (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each starting eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.

B. Yavuzay

Bodrum FK · +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1690

Lucas Lima
Lucas Lima

Bandırmaspor · +3.1 (Elite) · Elo 1624

Team Elo history

Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.

Coach Elo history

Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).

Burhan Eser

Coach DNA: low-block

Ertugrul Arslan

Coach DNA: –

Playing style

How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).

Bodrum FK: direct (how Burhan Eser plays) · Bandırmaspor: balanced profile (how Ertugrul Arslan plays)

* Includes our monthly adjustment: every month we take a little off each player's Elo to keep ratings from inflating.