Eliteserien · Regular Season - 12
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt host Valerenga on Sat 24 Oct 2026 (Eliteserien); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Bodo/Glimt 81%, draw 13%, Valerenga 6%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Bodo/Glimt €5.3M, Valerenga €472K.
- Largest team-Elo gap of Eliteserien matchday 12: 498 points.
- Draw chance 13%, below the Eliteserien average of 26% this round.
- Eliteserien: N. Haikin is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2236).
- Style contrast in discipline (Eliteserien): Bodo/Glimt rank #1 of 19, Valerenga #17.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Bodo/Glimt goals first.
- 3–010%
- 2–010%
- 3–18%
- 2–18%
- 4–08%
- 4–16%
- Other scores50%
Team Elo: Bodo/Glimt 2070 · Valerenga 1572
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Bodo/Glimt · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +9.0 (Elite) · Elo 2267
Valerenga · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.2 (Good) · Elo 1548
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Bodo/Glimt
1st in Eliteserien · 56 pts from 23
- 17 OctWHam-Kam Eliteserien2050
- 14 OctWBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League2099
- 10 OctWKristiansund BK Eliteserien2148
- 20 SepLBrann Eliteserien2086
- 14 SepWSandefjord Eliteserien2067
Valerenga
11th in Eliteserien · 26 pts from 23
- 18 OctWBrann Eliteserien1529
- 12 OctLKFUM Oslo Eliteserien1545
- 20 SepDFredrikstad Eliteserien1552
- 12 SepLLillestrom Eliteserien1565
- 6 SepDSarpsborg 08 FF Eliteserien1571
Season outlook
From the Eliteserien simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 56 /23 | 72.2 | 73% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Valerenga | 26 /23 | 33.4 | 0% | 0% | 15% | 12th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based · dribble-heavy
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Bodo/Glimt: possession-based (how Kjetil Knutsen plays) · Valerenga: balanced profile (how Johannes Moesgaard plays)