Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15
Boca Juniors vs River Plate
Sun 1 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Boca Juniors host River Plate on Sun 1 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boca Juniors 34%, draw 29%, River Plate 37%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boca Juniors €3.3M, River Plate €4.8M.
- Liga Profesional: S. Beltrán is the highest-rated goalkeeper (2077).
- River Plate's expected eleven is in form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +2.4 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boca Juniors goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 0–19%
- 1–28%
- 1–08%
- 2–18%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Boca Juniors 1936 · River Plate 2055
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boca Juniors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1911
River Plate · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +6.2 (Elite) · Elo 2083
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boca Juniors
2nd in Liga Profesional · 30 pts from 16
- 17 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1928
- 14 OctLVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1928
- 9 OctDInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1924
- 3 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1977
- 20 SepWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1946
River Plate
2nd in Liga Profesional · 29 pts from 16
- 18 OctWBelgrano Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional2067
- 14 OctDSarmiento Junin Argentina Liga Profesional2048
- 11 OctWEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional1985
- 19 SepLHuracan Argentina Liga Profesional2045
- 12 SepWAtletico Tucuman Argentina Liga Profesional2038
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 30 /16 | 34.8 | 9% | 61% | 0% | 2nd |
| River Plate | 29 /16 | 34.9 | 9% | 65% | 0% | 2nd |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: possession-based
Coach DNA: –
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boca Juniors: possession-based (how Rodolfo Martín Arruabarrena plays) · River Plate: possession-based · creative (how Leonardo Ponzio plays)