Liga Profesional Argentina · Round of 16
Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia
Sun 22 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Boca Juniors host Independ. Rivadavia on Sun 22 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boca Juniors 58%, draw 24%, Independ. Rivadavia 18%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boca Juniors €3.6M, Independ. Rivadavia €1.1M.
- Boca Juniors have won their last 5 matches.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boca Juniors goals first.
- 1–014%
- 2–012%
- 1–111%
- 2–110%
- 0–09%
- 0–17%
- Other scores37%
Team Elo: Boca Juniors 1981 · Independ. Rivadavia 1800
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boca Juniors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +5.4 (Good) · Elo 2071
Independ. Rivadavia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.7 (Good) · Elo 1845
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boca Juniors
2nd in Liga Profesional · 30 pts from 16
- 7 NovWDefensa Y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional2022
- 1 NovWRiver Plate Argentina Liga Profesional2004
- 25 OctWIndependiente Argentina Liga Profesional1960
- 21 OctWVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1939
- 17 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1919
Independ. Rivadavia
1st in Liga Profesional · 34 pts from 16
- 7 NovDGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1796
- 3 NovWBanfield Argentina Liga Profesional1798
- 27 OctLArgentinos JRS Argentina Liga Profesional1797
- 17 OctDTigre Argentina Liga Profesional1813
- 11 OctLRosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional1837
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 63 /32 | 65.0 | 73% | 100% | 0% | 1st |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 57 /32 | 57.8 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 7th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boca Juniors: possession-based (how R. Arruabarrena plays) · Independ. Rivadavia: balanced profile (how A. Berti plays)