Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 16
Boca Juniors vs Defensa Y Justicia
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC · Estadio Alberto J. Armando, Buenos Aires
Boca Juniors host Defensa Y Justicia on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Liga Profesional Argentina); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Boca Juniors 60%, draw 23%, Defensa Y Justicia 17%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Boca Juniors €3.6M, Defensa Y Justicia €950K.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Boca Juniors goals first.
- 1–111%
- 2–010%
- 2–110%
- 1–09%
- 3–07%
- 3–17%
- Other scores46%
Team Elo: Boca Juniors 1954 · Defensa Y Justicia 1748
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Boca Juniors · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +4.0 (Elite) · Elo 1976
Defensa Y Justicia · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +3.1 (Good) · Elo 1831
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Boca Juniors
2nd in Liga Profesional · 30 pts from 16
- 21 OctWVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1947
- 17 OctWTalleres Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1928
- 14 OctLVasco Da Gama Copa Sudamericana1928
- 9 OctDInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1924
- 3 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1977
Defensa Y Justicia
10th in Liga Profesional · 19 pts from 16
- 16 OctLInstituto Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional1758
- 10 OctWUnion Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional1748
- 3 OctWSan Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional1708
- 18 SepDCentral Cordoba de Santiago Argentina Liga Profesional1742
- 11 SepWGimnasia M. Argentina Liga Profesional1712
Season outlook
From the Liga Profesional Argentina simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 30 /16 | 35.0 | 9% | 64% | 0% | 2nd |
| Defensa Y Justicia | 19 /16 | 22.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 30th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Boca Juniors: possession-based (how R. Arruabarrena plays) · Defensa Y Justicia: possession-based (how J. Vaccari plays)