Primera División · Apertura - 25
Blooming vs Oriente Petrolero
Sun 8 Nov 2026 · 23:30 UTC · Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz
Blooming host Oriente Petrolero on Sun 8 Nov 2026 (Primera División); provisional chances from the two squads' Elo: Blooming 36%, draw 29%, Oriente Petrolero 35%.
- Average value of the expected XI: Blooming €152K, Oriente Petrolero €207K.
- Home advantage makes Blooming the favourite here: it adds 6 points to their win chance.
- Blooming's expected eleven is out of form: average EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. -1.2 over 180 days.
Provisional prediction
From both squads' Elo. The final prediction appears once the line-ups are confirmed, about 20–30 minutes before kick-off.
Most likely scores
Provisional, from both squads' Elo. Blooming goals first.
- 1–114%
- 0–09%
- 1–09%
- 0–18%
- 2–18%
- 1–28%
- Other scores44%
Team Elo: Blooming 1374 · Oriente Petrolero 1444
Probable line-ups
Most starts in each club's last 5 matches.
Players to watch
Highest EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. (Elo Above Replacement over the last 180 days) in each expected eleven. Elo after each match, last three years.
Blooming · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.8 (Elite) · Elo 1363
Oriente Petrolero · EAR = Elo Above Replacement, football's version of baseball's WAR (Wins Above Replacement). Every rated match scores a player against the average performance for their position: better adds to EAR, worse subtracts. EAR180 adds up the last 180 days (current form); EAR career adds up every rated match. Our predictions add EAR180 to a player's Elo, about 37 Elo points per EAR point. +1.3 (Good) · Elo 1489
Form
Last five matches; the number is the team Elo of the eleven that started.
Blooming
8th in Primera División · 28 pts from 22
- 17 OctDIndependiente Petrolero Bolivia Primera Division1352
- 11 OctLBolívar Bolivia Primera Division1362
- 17 SepDUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera Division1344
- 12 SepWABB Bolivia Primera Division1332
- 7 SepLNacional Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1328
Oriente Petrolero
5th in Primera División · 34 pts from 22
- 18 OctDGuabirá Bolivia Primera Division1428
- 10 OctWABB Bolivia Primera Division1410
- 17 SepWReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera Division1413
- 12 SepLReal Potosí Bolivia Primera Division1425
- 5 SepLAlways Ready Bolivia Primera Division1410
Season outlook
From the Primera División simulation.
| Club | Pts now | Pred. pts | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 | Most likely |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blooming | 28 /22 | 35.0 | 0% | <1% | <1% | 9th |
| Oriente Petrolero | 34 /22 | 42.2 | 0% | 16% | 0% | 5th |
Each bar is one finishing position, 1st on the left to 16th on the right; the taller the bar, the likelier that finish.
Team Elo history
Starting-eleven Team Elo in league matches, last three years.
Coach Elo history
Elo after each match, last three years (the whole career if shorter).
Coach DNA: low-block
Coach DNA: balanced profile
Playing style
How both clubs play against their own league (2024–2026).
Blooming: balanced profile (how C. Paulucci plays) · Oriente Petrolero: direct (how G. Florentín plays)